ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

QLYS

Qualys, Inc.

76
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

QLYS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

QLYS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

QLYS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QLYS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$173—
Cheap27x$165-4.7%
Current29x$173—
Fair45x$270+56%
Expensive58x$347+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QLYS's PE is in its cheap range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

QLYS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for QLYS, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QLYS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QLYS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$245.39
Downside-22%$134.73

Calculated from the latest close: $173.09 on Nov 12.

QLYS trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

QLYS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.03Q1 2024: $4.31Q2 2024: $4.53Q3 2024: $4.53Q4 2024: $4.65Q1 2025: $4.89Q2 2025: $5.01Q3 2025: $5.16Q4 2025: $5.44Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.78Q3 2026: $6.01Forward: $8.54
Q4 2023: $4.03Q1 2024: $4.31Q2 2024: $4.53Q3 2024: $4.53Q4 2024: $4.65Q1 2025: $4.89Q2 2025: $5.01Q3 2025: $5.16Q4 2025: $5.44Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.78Q3 2026: $6.01Forward: $8.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.54+42%
Q3 2026$6.01+16%
Q2 2026$5.78+15%
Q1 2026$5.57+14%
Q4 2025$5.44+17%
Q3 2025$5.16+14%
Q2 2025$5.01+11%
Q1 2025$4.89+13%
Q4 2024$4.65+15%

QLYS has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

QLYS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $170MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $188M
Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $170MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $188M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$188M+11%
Q2 2026$182.2M+11%
Q1 2026$175.6M+9.8%
Q4 2025$175.3M+10%
Q3 2025$169.9M+10%
Q2 2025$164.1M+10%
Q1 2025$159.9M+9.7%
Q4 2024$159.2M+10%

QLYS's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $188M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

QLYS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $108MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $100M
Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $108MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $100M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$100M+12%
Q2 2026$55.9M+72%
Q1 2026$93.6M-13%
Q4 2025$74.9M+79%
Q3 2025$89.5M+55%
Q2 2025$32.4M-34%
Q1 2025$107.6M+29%
Q4 2024$41.9M+30%

QLYS has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

QLYS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+291K shares
1 year-2.7%-972K shares
3 years-5.7%-2.1M shares
5 years-12%-4.6M shares
Available history-15%-6M shares

QLYS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

QLYS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash

QLYS has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

QLYS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.9Neutral
Stochastic55.4Neutral

QLYS's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QLYS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricQLYSSector medianRelative
PE29x28x3.4% above
PE %233512 pts below

QLYS is trading at 29x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

QLYS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$194.211% below
20 week MA$176.62% below
50 week MA$136.527% above
100 week MA$135.528% above
200 week MA$140.823% above

QLYS has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

QLYS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$84.6$120.4+42%
2021$120.4$139.4+16%
2022$139.4$111.3-20%
2023$111.3$196.3+76%
2024$196.3$139.8-29%
2025$139.8$138.3-1.1%
2026 YTD$138.3$173.1+25%

QLYS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key