ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over QBTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

QBTS

D-Wave Quantum Inc.

35
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

QBTS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

QBTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

QBTS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QBTS PE Valuation

QBTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

QBTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect QBTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails QBTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QBTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+85%$18.21
Downside-45%$5.41

Calculated from the latest close: $9.84 on Nov 12.

QBTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over QBTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QBTS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.69Q4 2023: $-0.60Q1 2024: $-0.51Q2 2024: $-0.40Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.75Q1 2025: $-0.66Q2 2025: $-1.11Q3 2025: $-1.41Q4 2025: $-1.11Q1 2026: $-1.14Q2 2026: $-0.72
Q3 2023: $-0.69Q4 2023: $-0.60Q1 2024: $-0.51Q2 2024: $-0.40Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.75Q1 2025: $-0.66Q2 2025: $-1.11Q3 2025: $-1.41Q4 2025: $-1.11Q1 2026: $-1.14Q2 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.72+$0.39
Q1 2026-$1.14-$0.48
Q4 2025-$1.11-$0.36
Q3 2025-$1.41-$1.02
Q2 2025-$1.11-$0.71
Q1 2025-$0.66-$0.15
Q4 2024-$0.75-$0.15
Q3 2024-$0.39+$0.30

QBTS lost $0.72 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over QBTS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QBTS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3M
Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.1M-0.6%
Q1 2026$2.9M-81%
Q4 2025$2.8M+19%
Q3 2025$3.7M+100%
Q2 2025$3.1M+42%
Q1 2025$15M+509%
Q4 2024$2.3M-21%
Q3 2024$1.9M-27%

QBTS's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $3M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

QBTS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$17MQ4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$20MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: −$33M
Q3 2023: −$17MQ4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$20MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: −$33M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$32.9M-$16.9M
Q1 2026-$46M-$26.3M
Q4 2025-$20M-1977%
Q3 2025-$20.1M-$1.7M
Q2 2025-$16M-$1M
Q1 2025-$19.7M-$7.3M
Q4 2024$1.1M+$16.2M
Q3 2024-$18.4M-$1.4M

QBTS has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over QBTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

QBTS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 133MQ4 2023: 138MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 202MQ1 2025: 286MQ2 2025: 302MQ3 2025: 342MQ4 2025: 321MQ1 2026: 367MQ2 2026: 371M
Q3 2023: 133MQ4 2023: 138MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 202MQ1 2025: 286MQ2 2025: 302MQ3 2025: 342MQ4 2025: 321MQ1 2026: 367MQ2 2026: 371M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+3.4M shares
1 year+23%+68.6M shares
3 years+201%+248M shares

QBTS has 371M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

QBTS Net Leverage

QBTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

QBTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.7Neutral
Stochastic10.0Oversold

QBTS's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QBTS PE vs Technology Sector

QBTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

QBTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.823% below
20 week MA$16.340% below
50 week MA$19.950% below
100 week MA$17.644% below
200 week MA$9.464% above

QBTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4% above its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over QBTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QBTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.2$10.5+3.4%
2021$10.5$9.79-6.8%
2022$9.79$1.70-83%
2023$1.70$0.88-48%
2024$0.88$9.91+1026%
2025$9.91$25.3+155%
2026 YTD$25.3$9.84-61%

QBTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1026% in 2024 to −83% in 2022. It's down 61% so far in 2026.

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