ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PICS
PicS N.V.
PICS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PICS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
PICS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PICS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 3.8x | $6.96 | — |
| Cheap | 5.2x | $9.53 | +37% |
| Fair | 6.1x | $11.33 | +63% |
| Expensive | 6.7x | $12.44 | +79% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PICS's PE is 3.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PICS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PICS, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
PICS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.85 | +278% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.62 | +286% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.53 | +378% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.49 | +40% |
PICS has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
PICS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $737.9M | +78% |
| Q1 2026 | $628.9M | +70% |
| Q4 2025 | $539.6M | +80% |
| Q3 2025 | $469.8M | +101% |
| Q2 2025 | $415.6M | +99% |
| Q1 2025 | $369.5M | +82% |
| Q4 2024 | $299.8M | +76% |
| Q3 2024 | $234.1M | +39% |
PICS's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2024: $738M last quarter, up 78% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 43% | +6.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 34% | +31 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.4% | -3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6% | -4.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.8% | +6.9 points |
| Q3 2024 | 9.4% | -33 points |
PICS has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
PICS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $826.8M | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | -$75.9M | +$432.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$474.3M | -$310.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $202.7M | +$218.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $625.2M | +$638.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$507.9M | -$449M |
| Q4 2024 | -$163.8M | -267% |
| Q3 2024 | -$15.8M | -107% |
PICS has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
PICS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
PICS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
PICS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PICS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 14.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 26.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
PICS's net debt is about 14 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
PICS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.3 | Oversold |
PICS's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PICS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PICS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 3.8x | 28x | 86% below |
| PE % | 9 | 17 | 8 pts below |
PICS is trading at 3.8x earnings, a 86% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus PICS above 0 of 2.
PICS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.91 | 30% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.7 | 35% below |
PICS is in a downtrend: it's below all two of its weekly moving averages, and 35% below its 20-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS has the edge over PICS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PICS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 YTD | $18.0 | $6.96 | -61% |
It's down 61% so far in 2026.