ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
PD
PagerDuty, Inc.
PD has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.9x | $7.84 | -50% |
| Fair | 5.1x | $10.33 | -34% |
| Expensive | 7.7x | $15.69 | -0.2% |
| Current | 7.7x | $15.72 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $15.72 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PD's PE is 7.7x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect PD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
PD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.43 | -29% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.03 | +$2.19 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.07 | +$2.47 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.87 | +$2.46 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.60 | +$2.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.16 | +$0.74 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.40 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.59 | +$0.30 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.81 | +$0.01 |
PD has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
PD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $124.4M | +0.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $121M | +1% |
| Q1 2026 | $124.8M | +2.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $124.5M | +4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $123.4M | +6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.8M | +7.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $121.4M | +9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $118.9M | +9.4% |
PD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $124M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +5.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.6% | +16 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6% | +13 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.5% | +15 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.9% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -8.6% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -9.7% | +20 points |
| Q4 2024 | -8.7% | +11 points |
PD has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
PD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.7M | +4.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $43.3M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.5M | -19% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.1M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $33.1M | -5.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $30.2M | +7.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $30.3M | +43% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.5M | +29% |
PD has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
PD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -323K shares |
| 1 year | -16% | -15.1M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -13.4M shares |
| 5 years | -5.7% | -4.8M shares |
| Available history | +4.1% | +3.1M shares |
PD has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $65.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $98.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $36.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $70.3M |
| Q1 2024 | — |
PD spent $208M buying back its own shares over the past year.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 9.7x | High |
| Q4 2025 | -68.2x | Net Cash |
PD has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
PD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.7 | Neutral |
PD's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.7x | 28x | 72% below |
| PE % | 84 | 35 | 49 pts above |
PD is trading at 7.7x earnings, a 72% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
PD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $16.0 | 1.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.5 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $10.7 | 47% above |
| 100 week MA | $13.6 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $18.4 | 15% below |
PD has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
PD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $23.3 | $46.1 | +98% |
| 2021 | $46.1 | $36.2 | -22% |
| 2022 | $36.2 | $26.6 | -27% |
| 2023 | $26.6 | $23.2 | -13% |
| 2024 | $23.2 | $17.8 | -23% |
| 2025 | $17.8 | $13.2 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.2 | $15.7 | +19% |
PD has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.