ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

PAY

Paymentus Holdings, Inc.

77
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

PAY has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

PAY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE231x463x694x926x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE231x463x694x926x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward33x$33.75—
Current46x$33.75—
Cheap60x$44.04+30%
Fair103x$75.05+122%
Expensive409x$299+785%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAY's PE is in its cheap range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PAY, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails PAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$57.31
Downside-22%$26.37

Calculated from the latest close: $33.75 on Nov 12.

PAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

PAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.31Q4 2024: $0.35Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.73Forward: $1.04
Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.31Q4 2024: $0.35Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.73Forward: $1.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.04+42%
Q3 2026$0.73+55%
Q2 2026$0.66+50%
Q1 2026$0.57+42%
Q4 2025$0.52+49%
Q3 2025$0.47+52%
Q2 2025$0.44+76%
Q1 2025$0.40+74%
Q4 2024$0.35+94%

PAY has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

PAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $232MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $275MQ2 2025: $280MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $361MQ3 2026: $372M
Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $232MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $275MQ2 2025: $280MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $361MQ3 2026: $372M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$372.2M+20%
Q2 2026$360.7M+29%
Q1 2026$358.4M+30%
Q4 2025$330.5M+28%
Q3 2025$310.7M+34%
Q2 2025$280.1M+42%
Q1 2025$275.2M+49%
Q4 2024$257.9M+56%

PAY's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $372M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

PAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $43M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.4M+24%
Q2 2026$48.7M+55%
Q1 2026$30.4M-40%
Q4 2025$45M+62%
Q3 2025$35M+425%
Q2 2025$31.4M+76%
Q1 2025$50.4M+365%
Q4 2024$27.8M+14%

PAY has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

PAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 129MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 130M
Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 129MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 130M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+1.3M shares
1 year+0.8%+1.1M shares
3 years+3.7%+4.7M shares
5 years+4.7%+5.9M shares
Available history+18%+19.8M shares

PAY has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.3xQ1 2024: -4.0xQ2 2024: -3.8xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -3.4xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -3.3xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -3.0x
Q4 2023: -5.3xQ1 2024: -4.0xQ2 2024: -3.8xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -3.4xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -3.3xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.3xNet Cash

PAY has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

PAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.0Neutral
Stochastic27.5Neutral

PAY's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PAY PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPAYSector medianRelative
PE46x28x66% above
PE %44339 pts below

PAY is trading at 46x earnings, a 66% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

PAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.24.7% above
20 week MA$33.50.8% above
50 week MA$29.216% above
100 week MA$30.710% above
200 week MA$23.842% above

PAY has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

PAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$30.5$31.6+3.4%
2022$31.6$7.16-77%
2023$7.16$17.9+150%
2024$17.9$33.0+85%
2025$33.0$31.5-4.6%
2026 YTD$31.5$33.8+7.2%

PAY has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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