ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

P

Everpure, Inc.

79
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

P has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

P Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

P's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

P PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE203x407x610x813x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE203x407x610x813x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$110—
Cheap127x$92.36-16%
Current151x$110—
Fair173x$126+14%
Expensive300x$219+99%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

P's PE is in its cheap range at 151x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

P Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for P, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails P on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

P Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$180.40
Downside-27%$80.89

Calculated from the latest close: $110.10 on Nov 12.

P has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

P Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.21Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.30Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.31Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.55Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.73Forward: $3.63
Q4 2023: $0.21Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.30Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.31Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.55Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.73Forward: $3.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.63+397%
Q3 2026$0.73+74%
Q2 2026$0.66+74%
Q1 2026$0.55+77%
Q4 2025$0.39-2.5%
Q3 2025$0.420%
Q2 2025$0.38+27%
Q1 2025$0.31+63%
Q4 2024$0.40+90%

P has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

P Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $763MQ1 2024: $790MQ2 2024: $693MQ3 2024: $764MQ4 2024: $831MQ1 2025: $880MQ2 2025: $778MQ3 2025: $861MQ4 2025: $964MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $763MQ1 2024: $790MQ2 2024: $693MQ3 2024: $764MQ4 2024: $831MQ1 2025: $880MQ2 2025: $778MQ3 2025: $861MQ4 2025: $964MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.1B+35%
Q1 2026$1.1B+20%
Q4 2025$964.5M+16%
Q3 2025$861M+13%
Q2 2025$778.5M+12%
Q1 2025$879.8M+11%
Q4 2024$831.1M+8.9%

P's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

P Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $113MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $167MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $152MQ2 2025: $212MQ3 2025: $150MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $201MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: −$238M
Q4 2023: $113MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $167MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $152MQ2 2025: $212MQ3 2025: $150MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $201MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: −$238M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$237.6M-258%
Q2 2026$111.8M-47%
Q1 2026$201.4M+32%
Q4 2025$52.6M+49%
Q3 2025$150.1M-9.9%
Q2 2025$211.6M+23%
Q1 2025$152.4M-24%
Q4 2024$35.2M-69%

P has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

P Total Shares

Q4 2023: 330MQ1 2024: 333MQ2 2024: 323MQ3 2024: 343MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 343MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 338MQ4 2025: 346MQ1 2026: 343MQ2 2026: 343MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 330MQ1 2024: 333MQ2 2024: 323MQ3 2024: 343MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 343MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 338MQ4 2025: 346MQ1 2026: 343MQ2 2026: 343MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+2.1M shares
1 year+2.3%+7.9M shares
3 years+12%+36.1M shares
5 years+22%+61.7M shares
Available history+35%+90.5M shares

P has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

P Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.5xQ1 2024: -3.6xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2024: -3.6xQ4 2024: -3.6xQ1 2025: -3.1xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -4.7xQ4 2025: -4.4xQ1 2026: -3.4xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -1.0x
Q4 2023: -2.5xQ1 2024: -3.6xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2024: -3.6xQ4 2024: -3.6xQ1 2025: -3.1xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -4.7xQ4 2025: -4.4xQ1 2026: -3.4xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-4.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.6xNet Cash

P has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

P Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.9Neutral
Stochastic40.7Neutral

P's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

P PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPSector medianRelative
PE151x28x441% above
PE %31354 pts below

P is trading at 151x earnings, a 441% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

P Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$125.212% below
20 week MA$104.45.5% above
50 week MA$83.831% above
100 week MA$74.248% above
200 week MA$58.588% above

P has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

P Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.2$24.0+39%
2021$24.0$33.3+39%
2022$33.3$26.7-20%
2023$26.7$35.7+34%
2024$35.7$63.7+78%
2025$63.7$69.3+8.8%
2026 YTD$69.3$110.1+59%

P has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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