ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

OUST

Ouster, Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

OUST has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OUST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

OUST's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OUST PE Valuation

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OUST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OUST's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails OUST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OUST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$68.75
Downside-46%$19.69

Calculated from the latest close: $36.60 on Nov 12.

OUST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

OUST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.65+$0.98
Q2 2026-$0.82+$0.98
Q1 2026-$0.93+$1.02
Q4 2025-$1.07+$1.01
Q3 2025-$1.63+$0.98
Q2 2025-$1.80+$1.16
Q1 2025-$1.95+$3.67
Q4 2024-$2.08+$9.02

OUST has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

OUST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$59.3M+50%
Q2 2026$54.6M+56%
Q1 2026$48.6M+49%
Q4 2025$62.2M+107%
Q3 2025$39.5M+41%
Q2 2025$35M+30%
Q1 2025$32.6M+26%
Q4 2024$30.1M+23%

OUST's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $59M last quarter, up 50% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

OUST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35M-$15M
Q2 2026-$15.4M-$13.2M
Q1 2026-$9.8M-$4.4M
Q4 2025-$37.2M-$33.2M
Q3 2025-$20M-$15.7M
Q2 2025-$2.2M+$19.8M
Q1 2025-$5.4M+$1.7M
Q4 2024-$4M+$20.6M

OUST has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over OUST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OUST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.3%+5.5M shares
1 year+23%+13.5M shares
3 years+82%+32.2M shares
5 years+1183%+65.9M shares
Available history+6407%+70.4M shares

OUST has 71M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OUST Net Leverage

OUST's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

OUST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic26.0Neutral

OUST's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OUST PE vs Technology Sector

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

OUST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.91.9% above
20 week MA$38.14% below
50 week MA$31.317% above
100 week MA$24.947% above
200 week MA$16.3125% above

OUST has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

OUST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$97.0$162.5+68%
2021$162.5$53.8-67%
2022$53.8$8.88-83%
2023$8.88$7.67-14%
2024$7.67$12.5+63%
2025$12.5$22.0+76%
2026 YTD$22.0$36.6+67%

OUST has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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