ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OSIS

OSI Systems, Inc.

55
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

OSIS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OSIS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

OSIS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSIS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.1x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.1x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$160-18%
Forward17x$196—
Current21x$196—
Fair22x$206+5%
Expensive28x$257+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSIS's PE is in its fair range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OSIS, with profitability holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSIS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSIS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$256.65
Downside-17%$162.06

Calculated from the latest close: $195.95 on Nov 12.

OSIS trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

OSIS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.59Q1 2024: $7.27Q2 2024: $7.36Q3 2024: $7.66Q4 2024: $7.77Q1 2025: $8.22Q2 2025: $8.70Q3 2025: $8.83Q4 2025: $8.83Q1 2026: $8.76Q2 2026: $9.00Q3 2026: $9.33Forward: $11.75
Q4 2023: $6.59Q1 2024: $7.27Q2 2024: $7.36Q3 2024: $7.66Q4 2024: $7.77Q1 2025: $8.22Q2 2025: $8.70Q3 2025: $8.83Q4 2025: $8.83Q1 2026: $8.76Q2 2026: $9.00Q3 2026: $9.33Forward: $11.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.75+26%
Q3 2026$9.33+5.7%
Q2 2026$9.00+3.4%
Q1 2026$8.76+6.6%
Q4 2025$8.83+14%
Q3 2025$8.83+15%
Q2 2025$8.70+18%
Q1 2025$8.22+13%
Q4 2024$7.77+18%

OSIS has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over OSIS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSIS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $405MQ2 2024: $481MQ3 2024: $344MQ4 2024: $420MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $505MQ3 2025: $385MQ4 2025: $464MQ1 2026: $453MQ2 2026: $484MQ3 2026: $403M
Q4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $405MQ2 2024: $481MQ3 2024: $344MQ4 2024: $420MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $505MQ3 2025: $385MQ4 2025: $464MQ1 2026: $453MQ2 2026: $484MQ3 2026: $403M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$403.5M+4.9%
Q2 2026$484.1M-4.1%
Q1 2026$453.2M+2%
Q4 2025$464.1M+11%
Q3 2025$384.6M+12%
Q2 2025$505M+5%
Q1 2025$444.4M+9.6%
Q4 2024$419.8M+12%

OSIS's revenue fell from its 2025 peak and has held roughly level since: $403M last quarter, up 4.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

OSIS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$57MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$45MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $173MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$57MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$45MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $173MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$29.4M+191%
Q2 2026$172.8M+$178.4M
Q1 2026$6.9M-91%
Q4 2025$55.5M+18%
Q3 2025$10.1M+$55M
Q2 2025-$5.6M+$32M
Q1 2025$77.1M+$134.1M
Q4 2024$47.1M+$74M

OSIS has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

OSIS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.9%-1M shares
1 year-7%-1.2M shares
3 years-5.4%-923K shares
5 years-11%-2.1M shares
Available history-13%-2.4M shares

OSIS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OSIS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

OSIS's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

OSIS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic20.0Oversold

OSIS's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSIS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricOSISSector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %43358 pts above

OSIS is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

OSIS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$196.60.4% below
20 week MA$207.35.5% below
50 week MA$238.918% below
100 week MA$228.514% below
200 week MA$178.010% above

OSIS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 10% above its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

OSIS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.2$93.1-8%
2021$93.1$92.3-0.9%
2022$92.3$79.6-14%
2023$79.6$129.1+62%
2024$129.1$171.4+33%
2025$171.4$269.8+57%
2026 YTD$269.8$196.0-27%

OSIS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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