ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
OPFI
OppFi Inc.
OPFI has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
OPFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
OPFI's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OPFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 2.3x | $5.91 | — |
| Cheap | 4x | $10.45 | +77% |
| Forward | 4x | $5.91 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $89.45 | +1414% |
| Expensive | 127x | $333 | +5529% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OPFI's PE is in its cheap range at 2.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.0x.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
OPFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect OPFI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
OPFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.47 | -44% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.62 | +$3.22 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.99 | +$4.15 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.03 | +$2.25 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.99 | +175% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.60 | -600% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.16 | -3000% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.22 | -1200% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.36 | +$0.42 |
OPFI has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over OPFI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
OPFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.8M | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $86.2M | -14% |
| Q1 2026 | $87.3M | -3.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $85.6M | +5.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $104.6M | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $100.2M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $90.8M | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $80.8M | +23% |
OPFI's revenue is shrinking: $93M last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | -16 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | -6.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 36% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 46% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 47% | +38 points |
| Q4 2024 | 31% | +17 points |
OPFI has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
OPFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81.5M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $87.4M | -3.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $85.6M | +7.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $111.9M | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $99.9M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $91M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $79.4M | +9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $90.1M | +12% |
OPFI has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over OPFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
OPFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -465K shares |
| 1 year | +222% | +59M shares |
| 3 years | +439% | +69.7M shares |
| 5 years | +1649% | +80.7M shares |
OPFI has 86M diluted shares, up 222% from a year ago, despite $26M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $9.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $7.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $1M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
OPFI spent $26M buying back its own shares over the past year.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
OPFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5x | Moderate |
OPFI's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
OPFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.0 | Oversold |
OPFI's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OPFI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | OPFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 2.3x | 28x | 92% below |
| PE % | 8 | 39 | 31 pts below |
OPFI is trading at 2.3x earnings, a 92% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
OPFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.87 | 0.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.33 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.41 | 30% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.61 | 39% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.45 | 8.4% below |
OPFI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 8.4% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
OPFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.85 | $10.2 | +3.7% |
| 2021 | $10.2 | $4.85 | -52% |
| 2022 | $4.85 | $2.13 | -56% |
| 2023 | $2.13 | $5.12 | +140% |
| 2024 | $5.12 | $7.65 | +49% |
| 2025 | $7.65 | $11.1 | +45% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.1 | $5.91 | -47% |
OPFI has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.