ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

ONDS

Ondas Holdings Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

ONDS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ONDS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ONDS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONDS PE Valuation

ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ONDS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ONDS's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ONDS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ONDS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+82%$9.67
Downside-44%$2.99

Calculated from the latest close: $5.32 on Nov 12.

ONDS trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ONDS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.75Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $-0.53Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.09
Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.75Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $-0.53Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.09+$0.32
Q2 2026-$0.02+$0.51
Q1 2026$0.09+$0.68
Q4 2025-$0.62-$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.41+$0.31
Q2 2025-$0.53+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.59+$0.16
Q4 2024-$0.61+$0.27

ONDS has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over ONDS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ONDS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $625,009Q2 2024: $957,851Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $167M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $625,009Q2 2024: $957,851Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $167M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$167.5M+1559%
Q2 2026$83.8M+1235%
Q1 2026$50.1M+1080%
Q4 2025$30.1M+629%
Q3 2025$10.1M+582%
Q2 2025$6.3M+555%
Q1 2025$4.2M+580%
Q4 2024$4.1M-17%

ONDS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $167M last quarter, up 1559% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ONDS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$53MQ2 2026: −$94MQ3 2026: −$151M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$53MQ2 2026: −$94MQ3 2026: −$151M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$150.8M-$139.6M
Q2 2026-$93.8M-$85.3M
Q1 2026-$52.6M-$45.8M
Q4 2025-$14.3M-$6.2M
Q3 2025-$11.1M-$2.7M
Q2 2025-$8.5M+$1.4M
Q1 2025-$6.8M+$1.8M
Q4 2024-$8.1M-$2.1M

ONDS has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over ONDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ONDS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 260MQ2 2026: 504MQ3 2026: 618M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 260MQ2 2026: 504MQ3 2026: 618M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+23%+114M shares
1 year+489%+513M shares
3 years+1363%+576M shares
5 years+2983%+598M shares

ONDS has 618M diluted shares, up 489% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ONDS Net Leverage

ONDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ONDS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

ONDS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONDS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricONDSSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ONDS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.3516% below
20 week MA$7.2326% below
50 week MA$8.9240% below
100 week MA$6.0812% below
200 week MA$3.5749% above

ONDS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 49% above its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

ONDS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$18.0$18.00%
2020$18.0$7.65-57%
2021$7.65$7.16-6.4%
2022$7.16$1.69-76%
2023$1.69$1.53-9.5%
2024$1.53$2.59+69%
2025$2.59$8.48+227%
2026 YTD$8.48$5.32-37%

ONDS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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