ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
OLED
Universal Display Corporation
OLED has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
OLED Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
OLED's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OLED PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $89.89 | — |
| Forward | 20x | $89.89 | — |
| Cheap | 26x | $130 | +45% |
| Fair | 36x | $177 | +96% |
| Expensive | 64x | $316 | +251% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OLED's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 20x.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
OLED Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect OLED's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
OLED Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.50 | -8.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.94 | +6.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.14 | -19% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.49 | -6.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.08 | +9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.64 | -6.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.12 | +9.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.81 | +4.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.65 | +9.7% |
OLED has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over OLED on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
OLED Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $160.4M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $152.2M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $142.2M | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $172.9M | +6.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $139.6M | -14% |
| Q2 2025 | $171.8M | +8.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $166.3M | +0.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $162.3M | +2.5% |
OLED's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $160M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 35% | -4.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 30% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 39% | +6.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 40% | +4.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 42% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 32% | -8.6 points |
OLED has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
OLED Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $95.9M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3M | -46% |
| Q1 2026 | $100.3M | +473% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.1M | -32% |
| Q3 2025 | $84.3M | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.5M | -35% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.5M | -73% |
| Q4 2024 | $22M | -25% |
OLED has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
OLED Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.9% | -895K shares |
| 1 year | -4% | -1.9M shares |
| 3 years | -3.9% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | -3.3% | -1.6M shares |
| Available history | -2.6% | -1.2M shares |
OLED has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $77.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $48.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $67.1M |
| Q4 2019 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
OLED Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
OLED has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
OLED Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.4 | Neutral |
OLED's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OLED PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | OLED | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 28x | 35% below |
| PE % | 3 | 35 | 32 pts below |
OLED is trading at 18x earnings, a 35% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
OLED Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $82.5 | 9% above |
| 20 week MA | $82.6 | 8.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 5.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $119.2 | 25% below |
| 200 week MA | $143.2 | 37% below |
OLED has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
OLED Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $212.7 | $233.2 | +9.6% |
| 2021 | $233.2 | $159.4 | -32% |
| 2022 | $159.4 | $106.7 | -33% |
| 2023 | $106.7 | $191.3 | +79% |
| 2024 | $191.3 | $149.7 | -22% |
| 2025 | $149.7 | $119.6 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $119.6 | $89.9 | -25% |
OLED has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.