ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
OCC
Optical Cable Corporation
OCC has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
OCC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
OCC's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OCC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.6x | $1.34 | -88% |
| Fair | 6.8x | $1.98 | -82% |
| Expensive | 36x | $10.34 | -6.1% |
| Current | 38x | $11.01 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OCC's PE is in its expensive range at 38x.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
OCC Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for OCC to show an outlook.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
OCC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.29 | +$0.43 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.12 | +$0.50 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.18 | +$0.36 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.14 | +$0.62 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.38 | +$0.17 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.50 | -$0.47 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.54 | -316% |
OCC has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
OCC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3M | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.2M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.4M | +4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.8M | +1.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.5M | +8.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.7M | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.5M | +12% |
OCC's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $24M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.7% | +5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.9% | +8.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.3% | +4.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4% | -2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.8% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2.5% | +5.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5.4% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.4% | +11 points |
OCC has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
OCC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3M | +$3.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.6M | -3640% |
| Q1 2026 | $1M | -60% |
| Q4 2025 | $718.8K | +$2.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.3M | -579% |
| Q2 2025 | $73.4K | -66% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6M | +$2.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.6M | -511% |
OCC has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
OCC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +2.9K shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +440K shares |
| 3 years | +12% | +968K shares |
| 5 years | +17% | +1.3M shares |
| Available history | +20% | +1.4M shares |
OCC has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | $240 |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
OCC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 15.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.8x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2023 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2023 | 0.9x | Very low |
OCC's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.8 years a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
OCC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.3 | Oversold |
OCC's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OCC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | OCC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 28x | 36% above |
| PE % | 83 | 35 | 48 pts above |
OCC is trading at 38x earnings, a 36% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
OCC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.1 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $14.3 | 23% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.3 | 2.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.18 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $5.67 | 94% above |
OCC has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
OCC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3.32 | $2.78 | -16% |
| 2021 | $2.78 | $4.85 | +74% |
| 2022 | $4.85 | $4.36 | -10% |
| 2023 | $4.36 | $2.70 | -38% |
| 2024 | $2.70 | $3.84 | +42% |
| 2025 | $3.84 | $4.42 | +15% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.42 | $11.0 | +149% |
OCC has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.