ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has a slight edge over NYAX overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

NYAX

Nayax Ltd.

46
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential19/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

NYAX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NYAX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

NYAX's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NYAX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x145x218x290x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x145x218x290x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward48x$52.18—
Cheap66x$13.83-73%
Fair82x$17.22-67%
Expensive228x$47.78-8.4%
Current246x$52.18—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NYAX's PE is in its expensive range at 246x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 48x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NYAX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NYAX, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NYAX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NYAX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$58.88
Downside-55%$23.33

Calculated from the latest close: $52.18 on Nov 12.

NYAX trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

NYAX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.61Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.43Q3 2024: $-0.31Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $0.18Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.79Q2 2026: $0.21Forward: $1.08
Q3 2023: $-0.61Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.43Q3 2024: $-0.31Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $0.18Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.79Q2 2026: $0.21Forward: $1.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.08+414%
Q2 2026$0.21-63%
Q1 2026$0.79+339%
Q4 2025$0.96+$1.13
Q3 2025$0.65+$0.96
Q2 2025$0.57+$1.00
Q1 2025$0.18+$0.64
Q4 2024-$0.17+$0.31
Q3 2024-$0.31+$0.30

NYAX has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

NYAX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $122MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $123M
Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $122MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $123M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$122.6M+28%
Q1 2026$105.9M+31%
Q4 2025$121.9M+37%
Q3 2025$105.8M+27%
Q2 2025$95.6M+22%
Q1 2025$81.1M+27%
Q4 2024$89M+27%
Q3 2024$83M+38%

NYAX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $123M last quarter, up 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

NYAX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $661,000Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $977,300Q2 2026: −$4M
Q3 2023: $661,000Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $977,300Q2 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.7M-167%
Q1 2026$977.3K+$6.7M
Q4 2025$16.3M+76%
Q3 2025$15.5M+53%
Q2 2025$5.6M+91%
Q1 2025-$5.7M-$1.3M
Q4 2024$9.3M+$10.8M
Q3 2024$10.1M+1431%

NYAX has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

NYAX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 33MQ4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 38M
Q3 2023: 33MQ4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-9.6%-4M shares
1 year-0.6%-211K shares
3 years+14%+4.6M shares
5 years+23%+7.1M shares
Available history+51%+12.7M shares

NYAX has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NYAX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 102.9xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 102.9xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.0xHealthy
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.5xNet Cash

NYAX's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NYAX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic28.3Neutral

NYAX's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NYAX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNYAXSector medianRelative
PE246x28x781% above
PE %914051 pts above

NYAX is trading at 246x earnings, a 781% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

NYAX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.79.3% above
20 week MA$54.03.4% below
50 week MA$57.28.8% below
100 week MA$49.35.8% above
200 week MA$36.045% above

NYAX has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

NYAX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$26.5$19.7-26%
2023$19.7$19.1-3.3%
2024$19.1$27.8+46%
2025$27.8$48.3+74%
2026 YTD$48.3$52.2+8%

NYAX has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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