ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NXT
Nextpower Inc.
NXT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NXT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NXT's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NXT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $59.80 | -36% |
| Forward | 19x | $93.60 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $88.88 | -5% |
| Current | 24x | $93.60 | — |
| Expensive | 29x | $117 | +25% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NXT's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NXT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NXT, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
NXT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.98 | +25% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.98 | +3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.87 | +5.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.84 | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.91 | -0.8% |
| Q4 2022 | $2.29 | +29% |
| Q3 2022 | $1.66 | -24% |
| Q2 2022 | $1.36 | -47% |
| Q1 2022 | $1.14 | -59% |
NXT has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over NXT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NXT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $935.2M | +8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $880.5M | -4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $909.4M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $905.3M | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $864.3M | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $924.3M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $679.4M | -4.4% |
NXT's revenue is growing: $1.1B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | -2.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -16 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +1.2 points |
NXT has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
NXT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $135M | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $105.2M | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $153.6M | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | $118.5M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $171.4M | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $70.1M | -41% |
| Q1 2025 | $227.2M | +108% |
| Q4 2024 | $134.9M | +116% |
NXT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
NXT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.2M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +1.9M shares |
| 3 years | +5.5% | +8.1M shares |
| 5 years | +265% | +112M shares |
NXT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NXT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
NXT has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
NXT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.1 | Neutral |
NXT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NXT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NXT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 28x | 16% below |
| PE % | 56 | 35 | 21 pts above |
NXT is trading at 24x earnings, a 16% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
NXT has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus NXT above 3 of 4.
NXT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $86.0 | 8.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $91.5 | 2.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $104.7 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $82.1 | 14% above |
NXT's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 14% above its 100-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
NXT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $31.0 | $46.9 | +51% |
| 2024 | $46.9 | $37.2 | -21% |
| 2025 | $37.2 | $91.2 | +145% |
| 2026 YTD | $91.2 | $93.6 | +2.6% |
NXT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.