ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NVEC

NVE Corporation

60
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NVEC has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVEC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVEC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVEC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.7x19x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.7x19x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap18x$65.22-21%
Fair22x$79.57-3.7%
Current22x$82.60—
Expensive26x$95.36+15%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVEC's PE is in its fair range at 22x.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVEC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NVEC to show an outlook.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVEC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVEC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$109.23
Downside-27%$59.93

Calculated from the latest close: $82.60 on Nov 12.

NVEC trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

NVEC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.46Q1 2024: $3.54Q2 2024: $3.48Q3 2024: $3.33Q4 2024: $3.09Q1 2025: $3.11Q2 2025: $3.00Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.92Q1 2026: $3.14Q2 2026: $3.72Q3 2026: $3.69
Q4 2023: $4.46Q1 2024: $3.54Q2 2024: $3.48Q3 2024: $3.33Q4 2024: $3.09Q1 2025: $3.11Q2 2025: $3.00Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.92Q1 2026: $3.14Q2 2026: $3.72Q3 2026: $3.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$3.69+29%
Q2 2026$3.72+24%
Q1 2026$3.14+1%
Q4 2025$2.92-5.5%
Q3 2025$2.85-14%
Q2 2025$3.00-14%
Q1 2025$3.11-12%
Q4 2024$3.09-31%

NVEC has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over NVEC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVEC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.8M-8.1%
Q2 2026$11M+81%
Q1 2026$7.7M+5.3%
Q4 2025$6.2M+23%
Q3 2025$6.3M-6.1%
Q2 2025$6.1M-10%
Q1 2025$7.3M+2.6%
Q4 2024$5.1M-25%

NVEC's revenue is growing: $6M last quarter, down 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

NVEC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10M+266%
Q2 2026$1.1M-74%
Q1 2026$12.4M+419%
Q4 2025-$4.8M-226%
Q3 2025$2.7M+41%
Q2 2025$4.1M-16%
Q1 2025$2.4M-24%
Q4 2024$3.8M-20%

NVEC has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

NVEC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+5.2K shares
1 year+0.2%+11.7K shares
3 years+0.2%+10.1K shares
5 years+0.3%+14.3K shares
Available history+0.1%+3.5K shares

NVEC has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVEC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.6xNet Cash

NVEC has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NVEC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.6Neutral
Stochastic18.5Oversold

NVEC's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVEC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVECSector medianRelative
PE22x28x20% below
PE %573522 pts above

NVEC is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

NVEC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$92.811% below
20 week MA$100.518% below
50 week MA$86.84.8% below
100 week MA$77.86.2% above
200 week MA$78.74.9% above

NVEC has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

NVEC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$71.4$55.6-22%
2021$55.6$67.7+22%
2022$67.7$65.6-3.2%
2023$65.6$78.4+20%
2024$78.4$82.4+5.1%
2025$82.4$61.1-26%
2026 YTD$61.1$82.6+35%

NVEC has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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