ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NTNX

Nutanix, Inc.

64
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

NTNX has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NTNX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

NTNX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NTNX PE Valuation

NTNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NTNX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NTNX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NTNX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NTNX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$88.11
Downside-29%$42.92

Calculated from the latest close: $60.87 on Nov 12.

NTNX trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

NTNX has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 273% for ASTS versus NTNX down 83%.

NTNX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.30Q2 2024: $-0.06Q3 2024: $-0.51Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $0.01Forward: $2.36
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.30Q2 2024: $-0.06Q3 2024: $-0.51Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $0.01Forward: $2.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.36+23489%
Q2 2025$0.01+$0.07
Q1 2025-$0.27+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.34+$0.39
Q3 2024-$0.51+$0.58
Q2 2024-$0.06+$1.62
Q1 2024-$0.30+$1.58
Q4 2023-$0.73+$1.37
Q3 2023-$1.09+$2.53

NTNX has returned to profit: it earned $0.01 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

NTNX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $511MQ1 2024: $565MQ2 2024: $525MQ3 2024: $548MQ4 2024: $591MQ1 2025: $655MQ2 2025: $639MQ3 2025: $653MQ4 2025: $671MQ1 2026: $723MQ2 2026: $703MQ3 2026: $757M
Q4 2023: $511MQ1 2024: $565MQ2 2024: $525MQ3 2024: $548MQ4 2024: $591MQ1 2025: $655MQ2 2025: $639MQ3 2025: $653MQ4 2025: $671MQ1 2026: $723MQ2 2026: $703MQ3 2026: $757M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$757.1M+16%
Q2 2026$703.1M+10%
Q1 2026$722.8M+10%
Q4 2025$670.6M+13%
Q3 2025$653.3M+19%
Q2 2025$639M+22%
Q1 2025$654.7M+16%
Q4 2024$591M+16%

NTNX's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $757M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

NTNX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $132MQ1 2024: $163MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $224MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $187MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $208MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $278M
Q4 2023: $132MQ1 2024: $163MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $224MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $187MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $208MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $278M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$277.6M+34%
Q2 2026$197.2M-3.1%
Q1 2026$191.4M+2.3%
Q4 2025$174.5M+15%
Q3 2025$207.8M-7.3%
Q2 2025$203.4M+160%
Q1 2025$187.1M+15%
Q4 2024$151.9M+15%

NTNX has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

NTNX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 241MQ1 2024: 299MQ2 2024: 246M
Q4 2023: 241MQ1 2024: 299MQ2 2024: 246M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-18%-52.8M shares
1 year+6%+13.8M shares
3 years+21%+42.7M shares

NTNX has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NTNX Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 16.5xQ2 2024: 8.4xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q1 2024: 16.5xQ2 2024: 8.4xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

NTNX's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NTNX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic25.2Neutral

NTNX's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NTNX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNTNXSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

NTNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

NTNX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$67.49.6% below
20 week MA$64.25.2% below
50 week MA$52.416% above
100 week MA$61.20.6% below
200 week MA$53.614% above

NTNX has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

NTNX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.7$33.2+4.7%
2021$33.2$32.5-2.3%
2022$32.5$25.7-21%
2023$25.7$47.7+86%
2024$47.7$62.5+31%
2025$62.5$52.8-15%
2026 YTD$52.8$60.9+15%

NTNX has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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