ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has a slight edge over NTGR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NTGR
NETGEAR, Inc.
NTGR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NTGR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
NTGR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NTGR PE Valuation
NTGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NTGR Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for NTGR to show an outlook.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
NTGR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.22 | -$0.33 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.94 | -143% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.89 | -206% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.63 | -250% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.89 | -241% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.18 | +$7.32 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.84 | +$4.71 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.42 | +$3.99 |
NTGR is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.22 per share over the past year, against $5.14 at its worst in mid-2024.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over NTGR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NTGR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $167.3M | -9.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $168.6M | -1.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $158.8M | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $182.5M | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $184.6M | +0.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $170.5M | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $162.1M | -1.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $182.4M | -3.3% |
NTGR's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $167M last quarter, down 9.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -8.2% | -4.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.6% | +5.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.8% | -56 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5.6% | +27 points |
| Q1 2025 | -7.9% | +5.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -8.3% | -6.8 points |
NTGR has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
NTGR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$5.2M | +$11.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$11.6M | -$6.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.2M | +$8M |
| Q4 2025 | $13.6M | -28% |
| Q3 2025 | -$17.1M | -116% |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.3M | -133% |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.1M | -169% |
| Q4 2024 | $19M | -65% |
NTGR has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
NTGR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +16K shares |
| 1 year | -5.5% | -1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.4% | -2.5M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -3.7M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -4.9M shares |
NTGR has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $15M |
| Q2 2026 | $12.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $20.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $15M |
| Q3 2025 | $20M |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $8.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.2M |
NTGR spent $63M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NTGR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -9.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -15.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -8.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2021 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2021 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2021 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
NTGR has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
NTGR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 23.9 | Neutral |
NTGR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NTGR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NTGR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
NTGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over NTGR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NTGR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $21.9 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $22.3 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $23.0 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $25.3 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $20.5 | 2.2% below |
NTGR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.2% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
NTGR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $24.5 | $37.0 | +51% |
| 2021 | $37.0 | $29.1 | -21% |
| 2022 | $29.1 | $18.0 | -38% |
| 2023 | $18.0 | $14.6 | -19% |
| 2024 | $14.6 | $28.1 | +93% |
| 2025 | $28.1 | $24.6 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $24.6 | $20.1 | -18% |
NTGR has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.