ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NRDY

Nerdy, Inc.

50
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

NRDY has a slight edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NRDY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

NRDY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NRDY PE Valuation

NRDY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NRDY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NRDY's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NRDY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NRDY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$8.89
Downside-34%$3.88

Calculated from the latest close: $5.88 on Nov 12.

NRDY trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

NRDY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.15Q1 2024: $-4.05Q2 2024: $-4.80Q3 2024: $-4.95Q4 2024: $-5.70Q1 2025: $-6.00Q2 2025: $-5.85Q3 2025: $-5.25Q4 2025: $-4.95Q1 2026: $-4.05Q2 2026: $-3.60Q3 2026: $-3.11
Q4 2023: $-6.15Q1 2024: $-4.05Q2 2024: $-4.80Q3 2024: $-4.95Q4 2024: $-5.70Q1 2025: $-6.00Q2 2025: $-5.85Q3 2025: $-5.25Q4 2025: $-4.95Q1 2026: $-4.05Q2 2026: $-3.60Q3 2026: $-3.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.11+$2.14
Q2 2026-$3.60+$2.25
Q1 2026-$4.05+$1.95
Q4 2025-$4.95+$0.75
Q3 2025-$5.25-$0.30
Q2 2025-$5.85-$1.05
Q1 2025-$6.00-$1.95
Q4 2024-$5.70+$0.45

NRDY has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over NRDY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NRDY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$33.2M-10%
Q2 2026$43.2M-4.5%
Q1 2026$48.7M+2.4%
Q4 2025$49.1M+2.3%
Q3 2025$37M-1.4%
Q2 2025$45.3M-11%
Q1 2025$47.6M-11%
Q4 2024$48M-13%

NRDY's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $33M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

NRDY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.9M-$1.8M
Q2 2026-$6.3M+$1.9M
Q1 2026-$3M+$4.7M
Q4 2025-$4.3M+$8.2M
Q3 2025-$4.1M+$856K
Q2 2025-$8.2M-$1.1M
Q1 2025-$7.6M-457%
Q4 2024-$12.5M-$4.5M

NRDY has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

NRDY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 9M
Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 9M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+95.5K shares
1 year+5.1%+410K shares
3 years+32%+2M shares
5 years+61%+3.2M shares

NRDY has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NRDY Net Leverage

NRDY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NRDY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI23.9Oversold
Stochastic10.1Oversold

NRDY's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NRDY PE vs Technology Sector

NRDY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over NRDY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NRDY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.7012% below
20 week MA$9.5238% below
50 week MA$12.553% below
100 week MA$17.366% below
200 week MA$29.380% below

NRDY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 80% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over NRDY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NRDY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$145.5$168.9+16%
2021$168.9$75.5-55%
2022$75.5$30.6-59%
2023$30.6$51.5+68%
2024$51.5$25.2-51%
2025$25.2$16.8-33%
2026 YTD$16.8$5.88-65%

NRDY has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 65% so far in 2026.

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