ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NOW

ServiceNow, Inc.

64
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

NOW has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Under pressure

NOW's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NOW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE428x855x1283x1711x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE428x855x1283x1711x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$101—
Current72x$101—
Cheap83x$115+14%
Fair141x$196+95%
Expensive518x$720+616%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NOW's PE is in its cheap range at 72x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NOW, with profitability holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails NOW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$144.04
Downside-19%$81.93

Calculated from the latest close: $100.66 on Nov 12.

NOW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

NOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.68Q1 2024: $1.87Q2 2024: $1.11Q3 2024: $1.29Q4 2024: $1.37Q1 2025: $1.47Q2 2025: $1.59Q3 2025: $1.66Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.68Q2 2026: $1.60Q3 2026: $1.39Forward: $4.55
Q4 2023: $1.68Q1 2024: $1.87Q2 2024: $1.11Q3 2024: $1.29Q4 2024: $1.37Q1 2025: $1.47Q2 2025: $1.59Q3 2025: $1.66Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.68Q2 2026: $1.60Q3 2026: $1.39Forward: $4.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.55+227%
Q3 2026$1.39-16%
Q2 2026$1.60+0.6%
Q1 2026$1.68+14%
Q4 2025$1.67+22%
Q3 2025$1.66+29%
Q2 2025$1.59+43%
Q1 2025$1.47-21%
Q4 2024$1.37-18%

NOW has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

NOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4.1B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.1B+21%
Q2 2026$4B+24%
Q1 2026$3.8B+22%
Q4 2025$3.6B+21%
Q3 2025$3.4B+22%
Q2 2025$3.2B+22%
Q1 2025$3.1B+19%
Q4 2024$3B+21%

NOW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.1B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

NOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $358MQ3 2024: $469MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $526MQ3 2025: $578MQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $473MQ3 2026: $748M
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $358MQ3 2024: $469MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $526MQ3 2025: $578MQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $473MQ3 2026: $748M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$748M+29%
Q2 2026$473M-10%
Q1 2026$1.5B+3.9%
Q4 2025$2B+45%
Q3 2025$578M+23%
Q2 2025$526M+47%
Q1 2025$1.5B+22%
Q4 2024$1.4B+2.8%

NOW has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

NOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+8.7M shares
1 year-0.4%-4.5M shares
3 years+1.1%+11.6M shares
5 years+2.7%+27.4M shares
Available history+5.8%+56.9M shares

NOW has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NOW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

NOW's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic5.4Oversold

NOW's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NOW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNOWSector medianRelative
PE72x28x160% above
PE %73528 pts below

NOW is trading at 72x earnings, a 160% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over NOW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$127.421% below
20 week MA$123.919% below
50 week MA$119.015% below
100 week MA$153.434% below
200 week MA$145.031% below

NOW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

NOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$57.4$110.8+93%
2021$110.8$129.7+17%
2022$129.7$76.4-41%
2023$76.4$141.3+85%
2024$141.3$216.3+53%
2025$216.3$153.9-29%
2026 YTD$153.9$100.7-35%

NOW has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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