ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIQ
NIQ Global Intelligence Plc
NIQ has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NIQ Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
NIQ's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIQ PE Valuation
NIQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIQ Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NIQ, with profitability improving.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
NIQ Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.26 | — |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.75 | -$0.68 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.97 | -$1.22 |
NIQ has the edge over ASTS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over NIQ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NIQ Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +6.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +1.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | -1.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +5.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +2.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | -4.8% |
NIQ's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.1B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.5% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.8% | +2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9% | -3.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -6.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3% | -6.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.8% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.2% | +5.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +1.3 points |
NIQ has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
NIQ Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $247M | -6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | -$66.8M | +$105M |
| Q4 2025 | $173.2M | +220% |
| Q3 2025 | $264.8M | +369% |
| Q1 2025 | -$171.8M | -$17.2M |
NIQ generated $489M in free cash flow over the past year, up 140% from the year before.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
NIQ Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +1.3M shares |
| 1 year | +5.1% | +14.4M shares |
| 3 years | +0.5% | +1.4M shares |
NIQ has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NIQ Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.4x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 11.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 11.1x | High |
NIQ's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.3 years a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
NIQ Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 88.9 | Overbought |
NIQ's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIQ PE vs Technology Sector
NIQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
NIQ has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus NIQ above 3 of 3.
NIQ Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $18.8 | 2.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $16.3 | 18% above |
| 50 week MA | $13.9 | 39% above |
NIQ is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 39% above its 50-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
NIQ Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $19.7 | $16.4 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.4 | $19.2 | +17% |
NIQ has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.