ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NICE

NICE Ltd.

69
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation89/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

NICE has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NICE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

NICE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NICE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current14x$94.12—
Cheap17x$116+23%
Fair49x$341+263%
Expensive76x$522+454%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NICE's PE is in its cheap range at 14x.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NICE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NICE, with profitability holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NICE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NICE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$128.96
Downside-22%$73.47

Calculated from the latest close: $94.12 on Nov 12.

NICE trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

NICE Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.92Q4 2023: $5.09Q1 2024: $5.54Q2 2024: $5.99Q3 2024: $6.46Q4 2024: $6.76Q1 2025: $7.17Q2 2025: $8.37Q3 2025: $8.80Q4 2025: $9.67Q1 2026: $8.43Q2 2026: $6.90
Q3 2023: $4.92Q4 2023: $5.09Q1 2024: $5.54Q2 2024: $5.99Q3 2024: $6.46Q4 2024: $6.76Q1 2025: $7.17Q2 2025: $8.37Q3 2025: $8.80Q4 2025: $9.67Q1 2026: $8.43Q2 2026: $6.90
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$6.90-18%
Q1 2026$8.43+18%
Q4 2025$9.67+43%
Q3 2025$8.80+36%
Q2 2025$8.37+40%
Q1 2025$7.17+29%
Q4 2024$6.76+33%
Q3 2024$6.46+31%

NICE has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

NICE Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $601MQ4 2023: $623MQ1 2024: $659MQ2 2024: $664MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $722MQ1 2025: $700MQ2 2025: $727MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $786MQ1 2026: $767MQ2 2026: $796M
Q3 2023: $601MQ4 2023: $623MQ1 2024: $659MQ2 2024: $664MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $722MQ1 2025: $700MQ2 2025: $727MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $786MQ1 2026: $767MQ2 2026: $796M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$795.7M+9.5%
Q1 2026$766.5M+9.5%
Q4 2025$786.5M+9%
Q3 2025$732M+6.1%
Q2 2025$726.7M+9.4%
Q1 2025$700.2M+6.2%
Q4 2024$721.6M+16%
Q3 2024$690M+15%

NICE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $796M last quarter, up 9.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

NICE Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $103MQ4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $228MQ2 2024: $148MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $265MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $164MQ4 2025: $156MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $117M
Q3 2023: $103MQ4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $228MQ2 2024: $148MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $265MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $164MQ4 2025: $156MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $117M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$117.3M+204%
Q1 2026$169.4M-36%
Q4 2025$156M-31%
Q3 2025$163.6M+24%
Q2 2025$38.6M-74%
Q1 2025$264.6M+16%
Q4 2024$225.1M+40%
Q3 2024$131.7M+28%

NICE has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

NICE Total Shares

Q3 2023: 66MQ4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 59M
Q3 2023: 66MQ4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-1.2M shares
1 year-6%-3.8M shares
3 years-11%-7M shares
5 years-11%-7.1M shares
Available history-8.7%-5.7M shares

NICE has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NICE Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.1xQ4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3x
Q3 2023: 0.1xQ4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 20250.0xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.1xNet Cash

NICE has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NICE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.9Neutral
Stochastic24.3Neutral

NICE's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NICE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNICESector medianRelative
PE14x28x51% below
PE %133522 pts below

NICE is trading at 14x earnings, a 51% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over NICE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NICE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$110.215% below
20 week MA$104.59.9% below
50 week MA$105.311% below
100 week MA$128.527% below
200 week MA$162.842% below

NICE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

NICE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$156.3$279.8+79%
2021$279.8$306.4+9.5%
2022$306.4$194.7-36%
2023$194.7$199.5+2.5%
2024$199.5$173.5-13%
2025$173.5$112.7-35%
2026 YTD$112.7$94.1-16%

NICE has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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