ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NET

Cloudflare, Inc.

62
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

NET has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Strong
Unavailable

NET's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NET PE Valuation

NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NET, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NET, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$489.89
Downside-32%$215.91

Calculated from the latest close: $318.50 on Nov 12.

NET trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over NET on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NET Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.26Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.58Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.75
Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.26Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.58Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.75—
Q3 2026-$0.68-$0.37
Q2 2026-$0.58-$0.23
Q1 2026-$0.25-$0.01
Q4 2025-$0.29-$0.06
Q3 2025-$0.31-$0.05
Q2 2025-$0.35-$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.24+$0.29
Q4 2024-$0.23+$0.32

NET is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.68 per share over the past year, against $0.91 at its worst in mid-2022.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

NET Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $401MQ3 2024: $430MQ4 2024: $460MQ1 2025: $479MQ2 2025: $512MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $615MQ1 2026: $640MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $783M
Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $401MQ3 2024: $430MQ4 2024: $460MQ1 2025: $479MQ2 2025: $512MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $615MQ1 2026: $640MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $783M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$782.5M+39%
Q2 2026$696.1M+36%
Q1 2026$639.8M+34%
Q4 2025$614.5M+34%
Q3 2025$562M+31%
Q2 2025$512.3M+28%
Q1 2025$479.1M+27%
Q4 2024$459.9M+27%

NET's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $783M last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

NET Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $94M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$93.6M+13%
Q2 2026$67.6M+69%
Q1 2026$93.1M+55%
Q4 2025$105.2M+94%
Q3 2025$82.5M+51%
Q2 2025$39.9M-12%
Q1 2025$59.9M+44%
Q4 2024$54.2M-0.9%

NET has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

NET Total Shares

Q4 2023: 334MQ1 2024: 339MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 342MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 346MQ2 2025: 347MQ3 2025: 349MQ4 2025: 348MQ1 2026: 353MQ2 2026: 354MQ3 2026: 357M
Q4 2023: 334MQ1 2024: 339MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 342MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 346MQ2 2025: 347MQ3 2025: 349MQ4 2025: 348MQ1 2026: 353MQ2 2026: 354MQ3 2026: 357M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+2.8M shares
1 year+2.2%+7.8M shares
3 years+6.7%+22.5M shares
5 years+14%+42.6M shares
Available history+144%+211M shares

NET has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NET Net Leverage

NET's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.9Neutral
Stochastic37.6Neutral

NET's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NET PE vs Technology Sector

NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

NET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$318.60% below
20 week MA$299.86.2% above
50 week MA$241.032% above
100 week MA$204.955% above
200 week MA$139.8128% above

NET has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

NET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$85.0+409%
2021$85.0$137.3+62%
2022$137.3$43.8-68%
2023$43.8$83.3+90%
2024$83.3$110.6+33%
2025$110.6$202.4+83%
2026 YTD$202.4$318.5+57%

NET has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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