ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow, though they disagree widely on how much.

NBIS

Nebius Group N.V.

There isn't enough reported data to score NBIS yet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NBIS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Healthy

NBIS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NBIS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE226x452x678x904x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE226x452x678x904x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap68x$22.45-83%
Fair114x$37.67-71%
Current390x$129—
Expensive666x$220+71%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBIS's PE is 390x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NBIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NBIS's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and NBIS's risk to reward.

NBIS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $128.64 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and NBIS's risk to reward.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

NBIS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2014: $0.63Q4 2015: $0.36Q4 2016: $0.25Q4 2017: $0.32Q4 2018: $1.71Q4 2019: $0.46Q4 2020: $0.87Q4 2021: $-0.49Q4 2022: $1.00Q4 2023: $0.64Q4 2024: $-2.28Q4 2025: $0.33
Q4 2014: $0.63Q4 2015: $0.36Q4 2016: $0.25Q4 2017: $0.32Q4 2018: $1.71Q4 2019: $0.46Q4 2020: $0.87Q4 2021: $-0.49Q4 2022: $1.00Q4 2023: $0.64Q4 2024: $-2.28Q4 2025: $0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.33+$2.61
Q4 2024-$2.28-456%
Q4 2023$0.64-36%
Q4 2022$1.00+$1.49
Q4 2021-$0.49-156%
Q4 2020$0.87+89%
Q4 2019$0.46-73%
Q4 2018$1.71+434%

NBIS has the edge over ASTS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

NBIS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2014: $613MQ4 2015: $722MQ4 2016: $917MQ4 2017: $1.1BQ4 2018: $1.5BQ4 2019: $2.1BQ4 2020: $2.6BQ4 2021: $4.3BQ4 2022: $6.3BQ4 2023: $9.7BQ4 2024: --Q4 2025: $530M
Q4 2014: $613MQ4 2015: $722MQ4 2016: $917MQ4 2017: $1.1BQ4 2018: $1.5BQ4 2019: $2.1BQ4 2020: $2.6BQ4 2021: $4.3BQ4 2022: $6.3BQ4 2023: $9.7BQ4 2024: --Q4 2025: $530M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2023$9.7B+53%
Q4 2022$6.3B+46%
Q4 2021$4.3B+63%
Q4 2020$2.6B+24%
Q4 2019$2.1B+37%
Q4 2018$1.5B+36%
Q4 2017$1.1B+24%
Q4 2016$917M+27%

NBIS's revenue is growing: $530M last quarter, down 80% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

NBIS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2014: $71MQ4 2015: $79MQ4 2016: $191MQ4 2017: $137MQ4 2018: −$1MQ4 2019: $288MQ4 2020: $97MQ4 2021: −$427MQ4 2022: −$107MQ4 2023: −$246MQ4 2024: −$562MQ4 2025: −$3.7B
Q4 2014: $71MQ4 2015: $79MQ4 2016: $191MQ4 2017: $137MQ4 2018: −$1MQ4 2019: $288MQ4 2020: $97MQ4 2021: −$427MQ4 2022: −$107MQ4 2023: −$246MQ4 2024: −$562MQ4 2025: −$3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$3.7B-$3.1B
Q4 2024-$562.1M-$316.2M
Q4 2023-$245.9M-$138.9M
Q4 2022-$107M+$319.7M
Q4 2021-$426.7M-539%
Q4 2020$97.3M-66%
Q4 2019$287.9M+$289.2M
Q4 2018-$1.3M-101%

NBIS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$4.6B over the past year, against −$43M the year before.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

NBIS Total Shares

Q4 2014: 326MQ4 2015: 324MQ4 2016: 326MQ4 2017: 331MQ4 2018: 335MQ4 2019: 335MQ4 2020: 353MQ4 2021: 362MQ4 2022: 377MQ4 2023: 373MQ4 2024: 281MQ4 2025: 248M
Q4 2014: 326MQ4 2015: 324MQ4 2016: 326MQ4 2017: 331MQ4 2018: 335MQ4 2019: 335MQ4 2020: 353MQ4 2021: 362MQ4 2022: 377MQ4 2023: 373MQ4 2024: 281MQ4 2025: 248M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-12%-33.3M shares
1 year-32%-115M shares
3 years-26%-86.9M shares

NBIS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NBIS Net Leverage

Q4 2022: -0.7xQ4 2023: 0.7x
Q4 2022: -0.7xQ4 2023: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20230.7xVery low
Q4 2022-0.7xNet Cash

NBIS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NBIS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

NBIS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NBIS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNBISSector medianRelative
PE390x16x2,264% above
PE %622438 pts above

NBIS is trading at 390x earnings, a 2264% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

NBIS has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus NBIS above 1 of 4.

NBIS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$179.728% below
20 week MA$199.936% below
50 week MA$163.521% below
100 week MA$110.017% above

NBIS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 17% above its 100-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

NBIS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$19.6$27.3+40%
2025$27.3$87.6+221%
2026 YTD$87.6$128.6+47%

NBIS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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