ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow, though they disagree widely on how much.

MSTR

Strategy Inc

There isn't enough reported data to score MSTR yet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

MSTR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSTR PE Valuation

MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSTR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSTR to show an outlook.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and MSTR's risk to reward.

MSTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $114.41 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and MSTR's risk to reward.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over MSTR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.64Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.57Q3 2024: $-2.28Q4 2024: $-6.06Q1 2025: $-22.24Q2 2025: $10.93Q3 2025: $21.07Q4 2025: $-15.23Q1 2026: $-36.99Q2 2026: $-94.04Q3 2026: $-57.71
Q4 2023: $2.64Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.57Q3 2024: $-2.28Q4 2024: $-6.06Q1 2025: $-22.24Q2 2025: $10.93Q3 2025: $21.07Q4 2025: $-15.23Q1 2026: $-36.99Q2 2026: $-94.04Q3 2026: $-57.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$57.71-374%
Q2 2026-$94.04-960%
Q1 2026-$36.99-$14.75
Q4 2025-$15.23-$9.17
Q3 2025$21.07+$23.35
Q2 2025$10.93+$12.50
Q1 2025-$22.24-$21.39
Q4 2024-$6.06-330%

MSTR has swung to a loss: it lost $57.71 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over MSTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $129MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $129MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.4M-2.5%
Q2 2026$122.4M+6.9%
Q1 2026$124.3M+12%
Q4 2025$123M+1.9%
Q3 2025$128.7M+11%
Q2 2025$114.5M+2.7%
Q1 2025$111.1M-3.6%
Q4 2024$120.7M-3%

MSTR's revenue has picked up after five years of holding roughly level: $125M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$1.8B over the past year, against โˆ’$916M the year before.

MSTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $837,000Q1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: โˆ’$24MQ3 2024: โˆ’$41MQ4 2024: โˆ’$18MQ1 2025: โˆ’$5MQ2 2025: โˆ’$37MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: โˆ’$22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: โˆ’$6MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $837,000Q1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: โˆ’$24MQ3 2024: โˆ’$41MQ4 2024: โˆ’$18MQ1 2025: โˆ’$5MQ2 2025: โˆ’$37MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: โˆ’$22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: โˆ’$6MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4M+$15.1M
Q2 2026-$5.9M+$31.1M
Q1 2026$13M+$18.2M
Q4 2025-$22.2M-$4.6M
Q3 2025-$11.1M+$30.3M
Q2 2025-$37M-$13M
Q1 2025-$5.1M-119%
Q4 2024-$17.6M-2204%

MSTR has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over MSTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 307MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 278MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 353MQ3 2026: 428M
Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 307MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 278MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 353MQ3 2026: 428M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+21%+75.5M shares
1 year+36%+113M shares
3 years+201%+286M shares
5 years+328%+328M shares
Available history+314%+325M shares

MSTR has 428M diluted shares, up 36% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSTR Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.7x
Q2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2020-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2020-11.9xNet Cash
Q1 2020-17.1xNet Cash
Q4 2019-29.1xNet Cash

MSTR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MSTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

MSTR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSTRSector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over MSTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$141.219% below
20 week MA$123.67.4% below
50 week MA$138.117% below
100 week MA$235.952% below
200 week MA$168.232% below

MSTR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to โˆ’54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

MSTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$32.3+123%
2021$32.3$59.7+85%
2022$59.7$16.3-73%
2023$16.3$63.2+288%
2024$63.2$330.0+422%
2025$330.0$158.8-52%
2026 YTD$158.8$114.4-28%

MSTR has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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