ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MPWR

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

74
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

MPWR has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MPWR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

MPWR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MPWR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x133x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x133x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward34x$1,447—
Cheap45x$808-44%
Fair77x$1,400-3.3%
Current80x$1,447—
Expensive105x$1,910+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MPWR's PE is in its fair range at 80x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MPWR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MPWR, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails MPWR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MPWR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$2,329.97
Downside-17%$1,194.87

Calculated from the latest close: $1,447.40 on Nov 12.

MPWR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

MPWR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.76Q1 2024: $8.39Q2 2024: $8.40Q3 2024: $8.87Q4 2024: $36.59Q1 2025: $37.49Q2 2025: $38.22Q3 2025: $38.98Q4 2025: $12.78Q1 2026: $13.91Q2 2026: $16.35Q3 2026: $18.15Forward: $42.12
Q4 2023: $8.76Q1 2024: $8.39Q2 2024: $8.40Q3 2024: $8.87Q4 2024: $36.59Q1 2025: $37.49Q2 2025: $38.22Q3 2025: $38.98Q4 2025: $12.78Q1 2026: $13.91Q2 2026: $16.35Q3 2026: $18.15Forward: $42.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$42.12+132%
Q3 2026$18.15-53%
Q2 2026$16.35-57%
Q1 2026$13.91-63%
Q4 2025$12.78-65%
Q3 2025$38.98+339%
Q2 2025$38.22+355%
Q1 2025$37.49+347%
Q4 2024$36.59+318%

MPWR has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

MPWR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $454MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $620MQ4 2024: $622MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $665MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $751MQ1 2026: $804MQ2 2026: $981MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $454MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $620MQ4 2024: $622MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $665MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $751MQ1 2026: $804MQ2 2026: $981MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+63%
Q2 2026$980.6M+48%
Q1 2026$804.2M+26%
Q4 2025$751.2M+21%
Q3 2025$737.2M+19%
Q2 2025$664.6M+31%
Q1 2025$637.6M+39%
Q4 2024$621.7M+37%

MPWR's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

MPWR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $103MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $145MQ3 2026: $221M
Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $103MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $145MQ3 2026: $221M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$220.6M+12%
Q2 2026$145.5M-23%
Q1 2026$179.4M-17%
Q4 2025$63.9M-38%
Q3 2025$196.8M-0.6%
Q2 2025$189.5M+73%
Q1 2025$216M-6.9%
Q4 2024$102.9M-26%

MPWR has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

MPWR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 49M
Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-76K shares
1 year+2.4%+1.1M shares
3 years+0.8%+392K shares
5 years+2.8%+1.3M shares
Available history+5.8%+2.7M shares

MPWR has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MPWR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.2xNet Cash

MPWR has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MPWR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic40.0Neutral

MPWR's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MPWR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMPWRSector medianRelative
PE80x28x186% above
PE %533518 pts above

MPWR is trading at 80x earnings, a 186% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

MPWR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,299.211% above
20 week MA$1,307.911% above
50 week MA$1,268.314% above
100 week MA$1,001.645% above
200 week MA$812.978% above

MPWR has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

MPWR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$178.4$357.1+100%
2021$357.1$495.6+39%
2022$495.6$350.6-29%
2023$350.6$630.8+80%
2024$630.8$612.7-2.9%
2025$612.7$946.3+54%
2026 YTD$946.3$1,447.4+53%

MPWR has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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