ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has the edge over MKTW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
MKTW
MarketWise, Inc.
MKTW has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MKTW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
MKTW's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MKTW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.2x | $3.56 | -84% |
| Fair | 6.6x | $5.62 | -75% |
| Forward | 8.7x | $22.30 | — |
| Current | 26x | $22.30 | — |
| Expensive | 28x | $23.38 | +4.9% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MKTW's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MKTW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MKTW, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
MKTW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.56 | +201% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.85 | -69% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.90 | -69% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.67 | -48% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.31 | -36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.72 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.94 | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.21 | +301% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.60 | +260% |
MKTW has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over MKTW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MKTW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $80.1M | -1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $75.8M | -5.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $77M | -7.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $83.4M | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $81.3M | -16% |
| Q2 2025 | $80M | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $83.5M | -23% |
| Q4 2024 | $97.5M | -13% |
MKTW's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $80M last quarter, down 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -2.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5.6% | -24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.4% | -22 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 22% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | +24 points |
MKTW has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
MKTW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.4M | +289% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.3M | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5M | -251% |
| Q4 2025 | $24M | +307% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M | +$8M |
| Q2 2025 | $17.7M | +$21.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7M | +$20.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $5.9M | -66% |
MKTW has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over MKTW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
MKTW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +11% | +292K shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +337K shares |
| 3 years | +75% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | +55% | +1M shares |
MKTW has 3M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago, despite $2M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $313,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $57,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $478,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
MKTW spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MKTW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
MKTW has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
MKTW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.7 | Neutral |
MKTW's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MKTW PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MKTW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 28x | 5.8% below |
| PE % | 82 | 38 | 44 pts above |
MKTW is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
MKTW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.0 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $19.5 | 14% above |
| 50 week MA | $17.6 | 27% above |
| 100 week MA | $16.3 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $24.8 | 10% below |
MKTW has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
MKTW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $201.0 | $210.0 | +4.5% |
| 2021 | $210.0 | $146.0 | -30% |
| 2022 | $146.0 | $32.4 | -78% |
| 2023 | $32.4 | $54.6 | +69% |
| 2024 | $54.6 | $9.82 | -82% |
| 2025 | $9.82 | $14.2 | +45% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.2 | $22.3 | +57% |
MKTW has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.