ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MKSI

MKS Inc.

79
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential89/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MKSI has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MKSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Stable

MKSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MKSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE264x527x791x1055x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE264x527x791x1055x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$222—
Cheap15x$125-44%
Current26x$222—
Fair29x$245+11%
Expensive50x$422+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MKSI's PE is in its fair range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MKSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MKSI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails MKSI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MKSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$492.41
Downside-15%$188.89

Calculated from the latest close: $221.50 on Nov 12.

MKSI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

MKSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-27.54Q1 2024: $-26.68Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $3.36Q2 2025: $3.95Q3 2025: $4.13Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.78Q2 2026: $6.27Q3 2026: $8.43Forward: $19.24
Q4 2023: $-27.54Q1 2024: $-26.68Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $3.36Q2 2025: $3.95Q3 2025: $4.13Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.78Q2 2026: $6.27Q3 2026: $8.43Forward: $19.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.24+128%
Q3 2026$8.43+104%
Q2 2026$6.27+59%
Q1 2026$4.78+42%
Q4 2025$4.37+56%
Q3 2025$4.13+798%
Q2 2025$3.95+3192%
Q1 2025$3.36+$30.04
Q4 2024$2.81+$30.35

MKSI has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

MKSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $892MQ1 2024: $868MQ2 2024: $887MQ3 2024: $896MQ4 2024: $934MQ1 2025: $936MQ2 2025: $973MQ3 2025: $988MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $892MQ1 2024: $868MQ2 2024: $887MQ3 2024: $896MQ4 2024: $934MQ1 2025: $936MQ2 2025: $973MQ3 2025: $988MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+43%
Q2 2026$1.2B+28%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1B+11%
Q3 2025$988M+10%
Q2 2025$973M+9.7%
Q1 2025$936M+7.8%
Q4 2024$934M+4.7%

MKSI's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

MKSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $147MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $95MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $136MQ3 2025: $146MQ4 2025: $92MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $189MQ3 2026: $243M
Q4 2023: $147MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $95MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $136MQ3 2025: $146MQ4 2025: $92MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $189MQ3 2026: $243M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$243M+66%
Q2 2026$189M+39%
Q1 2026$28M-77%
Q4 2025$92M-26%
Q3 2025$146M+3.5%
Q2 2025$136M+43%
Q1 2025$123M+151%
Q4 2024$125M-15%

MKSI has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

MKSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 68MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 68MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-200K shares
1 year+7.2%+4.9M shares
3 years+8%+5.4M shares
5 years+30%+16.8M shares
Available history+32%+17.4M shares

MKSI has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MKSI Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 5.9xQ3 2024: 5.9xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q2 2024: 5.9xQ3 2024: 5.9xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20264.0xElevated
Q4 20254.4xHigh
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20254.6xHigh
Q1 20254.8xHigh
Q4 20244.9xHigh

MKSI's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MKSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic17.0Oversold

MKSI's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MKSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMKSISector medianRelative
PE26x28x5.7% below
PE %41356 pts above

MKSI is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

MKSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$229.03.3% below
20 week MA$272.419% below
50 week MA$260.815% below
100 week MA$182.821% above
200 week MA$143.854% above

MKSI has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

MKSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$110.4$149.9+36%
2021$149.9$169.2+13%
2022$169.2$83.7-51%
2023$83.7$102.9+23%
2024$102.9$106.2+3.2%
2025$106.2$164.2+55%
2026 YTD$164.2$221.5+35%

MKSI has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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