ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MITK

Mitek Systems, Inc.

80
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

MITK has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MITK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MITK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MITK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x85x127x170x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x85x127x170x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$18.25—
Current39x$18.25—
Cheap40x$18.89+3.5%
Fair69x$32.56+78%
Expensive90x$42.14+131%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MITK's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MITK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MITK, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails MITK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MITK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$26.38
Downside-21%$14.35

Calculated from the latest close: $18.25 on Nov 12.

MITK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

MITK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.17Q4 2023: $-0.06Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.35Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $1.18
Q3 2023: $0.17Q4 2023: $-0.06Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.35Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $1.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.18+151%
Q2 2026$0.47+38%
Q1 2026$0.35+21%
Q4 2025$0.35+250%
Q3 2025$0.19+171%
Q2 2025$0.34+$0.49
Q1 2025$0.29+$0.45
Q4 2024$0.10+$0.16
Q3 2024$0.07-59%

MITK has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

MITK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $54M
Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$54M+18%
Q1 2026$54.8M+5.6%
Q4 2025$44.2M+19%
Q3 2025$44.8M+3.6%
Q2 2025$45.7M+1.7%
Q1 2025$51.9M+11%
Q4 2024$37.3M+0.9%
Q3 2024$43.2M+15%

MITK's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $54M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

MITK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $230,000Q1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $25M
Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $230,000Q1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$25.3M+19%
Q1 2026-$2.5M-118%
Q4 2025$6.6M+2766%
Q3 2025$19.2M-7.8%
Q2 2025$21.2M+69%
Q1 2025$13.5M+105%
Q4 2024$230K+$9.9M
Q3 2024$20.8M+573%

MITK has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

MITK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 47MQ4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49M
Q3 2023: 47MQ4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+174K shares
1 year+4%+1.9M shares
3 years+4.8%+2.2M shares
5 years+7.8%+3.5M shares
Available history+17%+7.1M shares

MITK has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MITK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 4.4xQ4 2023: 35.6xQ3 2024: -22.8xQ4 2024: 7.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: -1.0x
Q3 2023: 4.4xQ4 2023: 35.6xQ3 2024: -22.8xQ4 2024: 7.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: -1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20247.0xHigh
Q3 2024-22.8xNet Cash
Q4 202335.6xHigh
Q3 20234.4xHigh
Q2 20232.0xHealthy
Q1 20232.0xModerate

MITK has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MITK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.0Neutral
Stochastic51.8Neutral

MITK's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MITK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMITKSector medianRelative
PE39x28x39% above
PE %143521 pts below

MITK is trading at 39x earnings, a 39% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

MITK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.73.2% above
20 week MA$18.01.3% above
50 week MA$15.320% above
100 week MA$12.447% above
200 week MA$11.658% above

MITK has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

MITK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.63$18.8+146%
2021$18.8$16.8-11%
2022$16.8$10.0-40%
2023$10.0$13.0+30%
2024$13.0$11.4-13%
2025$11.4$10.5-7.1%
2026 YTD$10.5$18.3+73%

MITK has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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