ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MDB

MongoDB, Inc.

70
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

MDB has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MDB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

MDB's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MDB PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward46x$340—
Cheap477x$339-0.2%
Current479x$340—
Fair510x$362+6.5%
Expensive541x$384+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MDB's PE is 479x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MDB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Broad
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MDB, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MDB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MDB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+58%$538.15
Downside-35%$221.32

Calculated from the latest close: $339.78 on Nov 12.

MDB trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

MDB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.63Q1 2024: $-2.48Q2 2024: $-2.81Q3 2024: $-3.02Q4 2024: $-2.74Q1 2025: $-1.73Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-0.93Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.88Q2 2026: $-0.37Q3 2026: $0.71Forward: $7.42
Q4 2023: $-2.63Q1 2024: $-2.48Q2 2024: $-2.81Q3 2024: $-3.02Q4 2024: $-2.74Q1 2025: $-1.73Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-0.93Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.88Q2 2026: $-0.37Q3 2026: $0.71Forward: $7.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.42+945%
Q3 2026$0.71+$1.64
Q2 2026-$0.37+$0.72
Q1 2026-$0.88+$0.85
Q4 2025-$0.82+$1.92
Q3 2025-$0.93+$2.09
Q2 2025-$1.09+$1.72
Q1 2025-$1.73+$0.75
Q4 2024-$2.74-$0.11

MDB has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

MDB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $433MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $451MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $529MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $549MQ3 2025: $591MQ4 2025: $628MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $688MQ3 2026: $772M
Q4 2023: $433MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $451MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $529MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $549MQ3 2025: $591MQ4 2025: $628MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $688MQ3 2026: $772M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$771.8M+30%
Q2 2026$687.6M+25%
Q1 2026$695.1M+27%
Q4 2025$628.3M+19%
Q3 2025$591.4M+24%
Q2 2025$549M+22%
Q1 2025$548.4M+20%
Q4 2024$529.4M+22%

MDB's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $772M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

MDB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $178MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $139M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $178MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $139M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$139.4M+95%
Q2 2026$199.3M+84%
Q1 2026$178.5M+627%
Q4 2025$141.8M+300%
Q3 2025$71.6M+$74M
Q2 2025$108.3M+72%
Q1 2025$24.6M-53%
Q4 2024$35.5M-2.4%

MDB has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

MDB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 71MQ2 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 75MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 82M
Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 71MQ2 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 75MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 82M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+414K shares
1 year+1.1%+917K shares
3 years+16%+11.1M shares
5 years+29%+18.6M shares
Available history+45%+25.6M shares

MDB has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MDB Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -119.6x
Q3 2026: -119.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-119.6xNet Cash

MDB has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MDB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic22.0Neutral

MDB's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MDB PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

MDB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$358.65.2% below
20 week MA$368.27.7% below
50 week MA$346.51.9% below
100 week MA$297.114% above
200 week MA$308.910% above

MDB has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

MDB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$134.1$378.5+182%
2021$378.5$551.1+46%
2022$551.1$197.5-64%
2023$197.5$408.9+107%
2024$408.9$238.4-42%
2025$238.4$435.9+83%
2026 YTD$435.9$339.8-22%

MDB has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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