ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow, though they disagree widely on how much.

MARA

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score MARA yet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MARA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

MARA's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MARA.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MARA PE Valuation

MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MARA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MARA's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and MARA's risk to reward.

MARA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.20 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and MARA's risk to reward.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over MARA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MARA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.92Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $-3.69Q1 2026: $-5.45Q2 2026: $-8.89Q3 2026: $-7.88
Q4 2023: $0.92Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $-3.69Q1 2026: $-5.45Q2 2026: $-8.89Q3 2026: $-7.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$7.88-465%
Q2 2026-$8.89-705%
Q1 2026-$5.45-$4.36
Q4 2025-$3.69-315%
Q3 2025$2.16+148%
Q2 2025$1.47-10%
Q1 2025-$1.09-149%
Q4 2024$1.72+87%

MARA has swung to a loss: it lost $7.88 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over MARA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MARA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $214MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $175MQ3 2026: $164M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $214MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $175MQ3 2026: $164M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$164.2M-35%
Q2 2026$174.9M-27%
Q1 2026$174.6M-18%
Q4 2025$202.3M-5.6%
Q3 2025$252.4M+92%
Q2 2025$238.5M+64%
Q1 2025$213.9M+29%
Q4 2024$214.4M+37%

MARA's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $164M last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$1.8B over the past year, against โˆ’$916M the year before.

MARA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$93MQ1 2024: โˆ’$97MQ2 2024: โˆ’$132MQ3 2024: โˆ’$198MQ4 2024: โˆ’$500MQ1 2025: โˆ’$254MQ2 2025: โˆ’$282MQ3 2025: โˆ’$284MQ4 2025: โˆ’$389MQ1 2026: โˆ’$327MQ2 2026: โˆ’$239MQ3 2026: โˆ’$264M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$93MQ1 2024: โˆ’$97MQ2 2024: โˆ’$132MQ3 2024: โˆ’$198MQ4 2024: โˆ’$500MQ1 2025: โˆ’$254MQ2 2025: โˆ’$282MQ3 2025: โˆ’$284MQ4 2025: โˆ’$389MQ1 2026: โˆ’$327MQ2 2026: โˆ’$239MQ3 2026: โˆ’$264M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$263.6M+$20.3M
Q2 2026-$238.5M+$43.8M
Q1 2026-$327M-$72.7M
Q4 2025-$389.2M+$110.7M
Q3 2025-$283.9M-$85.8M
Q2 2025-$282.4M-$150M
Q1 2025-$254.3M-$156.9M
Q4 2024-$499.9M-$407M

MARA has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over MARA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MARA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 470MQ1 2026: 380MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 496M
Q1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 470MQ1 2026: 380MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 496M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+30%+115M shares
1 year+13%+55.5M shares
3 years+212%+337M shares
5 years+416%+400M shares

MARA has 496M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MARA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate
Q3 20240.9xVery low
Q2 20240.1xVery low
Q1 20240.0xVery low
Q4 2023-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20232.6xModerate

MARA's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MARA.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MARA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.4Neutral
Stochastic10.2Oversold

MARA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MARA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMARASector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over MARA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MARA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.5416% below
20 week MA$10.330% below
50 week MA$10.632% below
100 week MA$13.346% below
200 week MA$14.450% below

MARA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to โˆ’54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

MARA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$0.90$10.9+1113%
2021$10.9$38.1+249%
2022$38.1$3.62-91%
2023$3.62$23.5+549%
2024$23.5$18.4-21%
2025$18.4$9.59-48%
2026 YTD$9.59$7.20-25%

MARA has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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