ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MANH

Manhattan Associates, Inc.

64
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

MANH has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MANH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

MANH's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MANH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x57x86x114x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x57x86x114x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward43x$256—
Cheap52x$187-27%
Fair72x$257+0.3%
Current72x$256—
Expensive88x$312+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MANH's PE is in its fair range at 72x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 43x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MANH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MANH, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MANH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MANH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$311.51
Downside-23%$196.53

Calculated from the latest close: $256.37 on Nov 12.

MANH trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

MANH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.82Q1 2024: $3.06Q2 2024: $3.28Q3 2024: $3.52Q4 2024: $3.51Q1 2025: $3.50Q2 2025: $3.58Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $3.60Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $3.49Q3 2026: $3.57Forward: $6.01
Q4 2023: $2.82Q1 2024: $3.06Q2 2024: $3.28Q3 2024: $3.52Q4 2024: $3.51Q1 2025: $3.50Q2 2025: $3.58Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $3.60Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $3.49Q3 2026: $3.57Forward: $6.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.01+68%
Q3 2026$3.57+1.7%
Q2 2026$3.49-2.5%
Q1 2026$3.57+2%
Q4 2025$3.60+2.6%
Q3 2025$3.51-0.3%
Q2 2025$3.58+9.1%
Q1 2025$3.50+14%
Q4 2024$3.51+24%

MANH has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

MANH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $238MQ1 2024: $255MQ2 2024: $265MQ3 2024: $267MQ4 2024: $256MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $276MQ4 2025: $270MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $306M
Q4 2023: $238MQ1 2024: $255MQ2 2024: $265MQ3 2024: $267MQ4 2024: $256MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $276MQ4 2025: $270MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $306M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$306.2M+11%
Q2 2026$297.8M+9.3%
Q1 2026$282.2M+7.4%
Q4 2025$270.4M+5.7%
Q3 2025$275.8M+3.4%
Q2 2025$272.4M+2.7%
Q1 2025$262.8M+3.2%
Q4 2024$255.8M+7.4%

MANH's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $306M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

MANH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $102MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $90MQ3 2026: $68M
Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $102MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $90MQ3 2026: $68M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67.6M-22%
Q2 2026$89.7M+28%
Q1 2026$79.9M+7.5%
Q4 2025$142.4M+40%
Q3 2025$87.2M+42%
Q2 2025$70.1M-1.4%
Q1 2025$74.4M+42%
Q4 2024$101.6M+18%

MANH has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

MANH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 63MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 62MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
Q4 2023: 63MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 62MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-265K shares
1 year-3.6%-2.2M shares
3 years-5.7%-3.6M shares
5 years-8.6%-5.5M shares
Available history-9.4%-6.1M shares

MANH has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MANH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

MANH has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MANH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.2Overbought
Stochastic90.5Overbought

MANH's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MANH PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMANHSector medianRelative
PE72x28x158% above
PE %493514 pts above

MANH is trading at 72x earnings, a 158% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

MANH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$229.112% above
20 week MA$205.125% above
50 week MA$171.350% above
100 week MA$186.438% above
200 week MA$201.427% above

MANH has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

MANH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$80.6$106.6+32%
2021$106.6$155.3+46%
2022$155.3$120.0-23%
2023$120.0$215.3+80%
2024$215.3$275.2+28%
2025$275.2$176.4-36%
2026 YTD$176.4$256.4+45%

MANH has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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