ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LYFT

Lyft, Inc.

65
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

LYFT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LYFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

LYFT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LYFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.1x$14.05-15%
Current2.5x$16.61—
Forward18x$16.61—
Fair51x$344+1973%
Expensive106x$714+4201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LYFT's PE is in its fair range at 2.5x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 18x.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LYFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LYFT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails LYFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LYFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$26.12
Downside-23%$12.71

Calculated from the latest close: $16.61 on Nov 12.

LYFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

LYFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.15Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $0.15Q2 2025: $0.24Q3 2025: $0.38Q4 2025: $6.81Q1 2026: $6.84Q2 2026: $6.87Q3 2026: $6.73Forward: $0.91
Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.15Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $0.15Q2 2025: $0.24Q3 2025: $0.38Q4 2025: $6.81Q1 2026: $6.84Q2 2026: $6.87Q3 2026: $6.73Forward: $0.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.91-87%
Q3 2026$6.73+1671%
Q2 2026$6.87+2763%
Q1 2026$6.84+4460%
Q4 2025$6.81+11250%
Q3 2025$0.38+$0.53
Q2 2025$0.24+$0.39
Q1 2025$0.15+$0.61
Q4 2024$0.06+$0.94

LYFT has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

LYFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+8.1%
Q2 2026$1.8B+16%
Q1 2026$1.7B+14%
Q4 2025$1.6B+2.7%
Q3 2025$1.7B+11%
Q2 2025$1.6B+11%
Q1 2025$1.5B+14%
Q4 2024$1.6B+27%

LYFT's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $1.8B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

LYFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $276MQ3 2024: $264MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $287MQ2 2025: $344MQ3 2025: $291MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $350MQ3 2026: $328M
Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $276MQ3 2024: $264MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $287MQ2 2025: $344MQ3 2025: $291MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $350MQ3 2026: $328M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$328.4M+13%
Q2 2026$349.9M+1.8%
Q1 2026$307.7M+7.1%
Q4 2025$246.2M+61%
Q3 2025$291.3M+10%
Q2 2025$343.7M+24%
Q1 2025$287.2M+84%
Q4 2024$153.4M+253%

LYFT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

LYFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 385MQ1 2024: 402MQ2 2024: 412MQ3 2024: 412MQ4 2024: 414MQ1 2025: 424MQ2 2025: 423MQ3 2025: 413MQ4 2025: 418MQ1 2026: 402MQ2 2026: 386MQ3 2026: 379M
Q4 2023: 385MQ1 2024: 402MQ2 2024: 412MQ3 2024: 412MQ4 2024: 414MQ1 2025: 424MQ2 2025: 423MQ3 2025: 413MQ4 2025: 418MQ1 2026: 402MQ2 2026: 386MQ3 2026: 379M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-7.8M shares
1 year-8.3%-34.1M shares
3 years-2.8%-10.8M shares
5 years+12%+40.8M shares
Available history+24%+74M shares

LYFT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LYFT Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -5.2xQ1 2025: -6.1xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ2 2026: -3.5x
Q4 2024: -5.2xQ1 2025: -6.1xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ2 2026: -3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.2xNet Cash

LYFT has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

LYFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.8Neutral
Stochastic53.0Neutral

LYFT's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LYFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLYFTSector medianRelative
PE2.5x28x91% below
PE %36351 pt above

LYFT is trading at 2.5x earnings, a 91% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

LYFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.32.1% above
20 week MA$16.22.5% above
50 week MA$15.85.1% above
100 week MA$15.75.5% above
200 week MA$14.316% above

LYFT has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

LYFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.8$48.9+6.6%
2021$48.9$44.2-9.6%
2022$44.2$10.2-77%
2023$10.2$15.0+47%
2024$15.0$13.3-11%
2025$13.3$19.7+48%
2026 YTD$19.7$16.6-16%

LYFT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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