ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
LSPD
Lightspeed Commerce Inc.
LSPD has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LSPD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
LSPD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LSPD PE Valuation
LSPD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LSPD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LSPD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
LSPD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.80 | — |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.70 | +$3.78 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.03 | +$3.33 |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.60 | -$3.80 |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.53 | -$3.64 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.48 | -$3.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.36 | -$3.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.80 | +$0.55 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.89 | +$5.59 |
LSPD has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LSPD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $322.7M | +5.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $290.8M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $312.3M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $319M | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $304.9M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $253.4M | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $280.1M | +17% |
| Q3 2024 | $277.2M | +20% |
LSPD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $323M last quarter, up 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.1% | +13 points |
| Q1 2026 | -12% | +217 points |
| Q4 2025 | -11% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | -11% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | -14% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -229% | -211 points |
| Q4 2024 | -12% | +9.3 points |
| Q3 2024 | -14% | +8.9 points |
LSPD has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
LSPD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.6M | -2169% |
| Q1 2026 | -$8M | +$8.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9M | +$27.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $23.8M | +$41M |
| Q2 2025 | $77K | +$18.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$16.9M | +$17.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.4M | +$19.7M |
| Q3 2024 | -$17.2M | +$11.3M |
LSPD has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
LSPD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -2.6M shares |
| 3 years | -9.4% | -14.3M shares |
| 5 years | +5.6% | +7.3M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +53.3M shares |
LSPD has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $65.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $279,531 |
| Q4 2025 | $429,657 |
| Q3 2025 | $20,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $116.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $92.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $63,893 |
LSPD spent $66M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 68% from the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LSPD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -23.9x | Net Cash |
LSPD has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
LSPD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 49.7 | Neutral |
LSPD's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LSPD PE vs Technology Sector
LSPD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over LSPD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LSPD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.4 | 3.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.4 | 2.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.1 | 0.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.0 | 8.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.1 | 23% below |
LSPD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
LSPD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.0 | $68.5 | +145% |
| 2021 | $68.5 | $40.8 | -40% |
| 2022 | $40.8 | $13.5 | -67% |
| 2023 | $13.5 | $21.0 | +56% |
| 2024 | $21.0 | $15.6 | -26% |
| 2025 | $15.6 | $12.4 | -21% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.4 | $10.1 | -18% |
LSPD has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.