ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LPTH
LightPath Technologies, Inc.
LPTH has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LPTH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
LPTH's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LPTH PE Valuation
LPTH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LPTH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect LPTH's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
LPTH has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 273% for ASTS versus LPTH down 257%.
LPTH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | -$0.23 | -$0.09 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.21 | -$0.09 |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.21 | -$0.08 |
| Q1 2024 | -$0.18 | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.14 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.12 | +$0.04 |
| Q2 2023 | -$0.13 | $0.00 |
| Q1 2023 | -$0.16 | +$0.02 |
LPTH lost $0.33 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LPTH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.8M | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.2M | +73% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.1M | +109% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.4M | +120% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.1M | +79% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.2M | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.2M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.4M | +1.5% |
LPTH's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $21M last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -10% | +6.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -20% | +18 points |
| Q1 2026 | -22% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -53% | -19 points |
| Q3 2025 | -17% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -38% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | -36% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | -33% | -9.1 points |
LPTH has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
LPTH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$10.9M | -$9.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.5M | -$6.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.7M | -$4M |
| Q4 2025 | $2M | +$2.8M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.2M | +$560.1K |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.3M | -$3.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.7M | -$2.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$817.8K | +$981 |
LPTH has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over LPTH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
LPTH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +19% | +11.4M shares |
| 1 year | +71% | +29.1M shares |
| 3 years | +99% | +34.9M shares |
| 5 years | +166% | +43.6M shares |
| Available history | +156% | +42.6M shares |
LPTH has 70M diluted shares, up 71% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LPTH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -20.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2021 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2021 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
LPTH has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
LPTH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.1 | Oversold |
LPTH's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LPTH PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | LPTH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
LPTH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
LPTH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.51 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.4 | 31% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.4 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $7.72 | 6.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.60 | 57% above |
LPTH has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 57% above its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
LPTH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0.69 | $4.06 | +488% |
| 2021 | $4.06 | $2.31 | -43% |
| 2022 | $2.31 | $1.20 | -48% |
| 2023 | $1.20 | $1.26 | +5% |
| 2024 | $1.26 | $3.49 | +177% |
| 2025 | $3.49 | $9.02 | +158% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.02 | $7.21 | -20% |
LPTH has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.