ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has the edge over LPL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
LPL
LG Display Co., Ltd.
LPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
LPL's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LPL PE Valuation
LPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LPL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
LPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.43 | -$0.18 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.01 | -$0.51 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.06 | +$1.54 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.17 | +$2.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.25 | +$1.18 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.50 | +$1.36 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.60 | +$0.63 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.17 | +$0.77 |
LPL has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over LPL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.7B | -9.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.2B | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.1B | -8.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.4B | -8.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.2B | +2% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.5B | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.9B | +5.9% |
LPL's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $4.7B last quarter, down 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.2% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2.1% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.6% | +9.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1% | -0.7 points |
LPL has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
LPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $517.7M | +$963.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$547M | -432% |
| Q4 2025 | $582.1K | -100% |
| Q3 2025 | $173.9M | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | -$446.2M | -242% |
| Q1 2025 | $164.8M | +$1.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $873M | +$1B |
| Q3 2024 | $97.5M | -70% |
LPL has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
LPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | +28% | +221M shares |
| 5 years | +25% | +202M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +284M shares |
LPL has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
LPL's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
LPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.2 | Oversold |
LPL's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | LPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
LPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over LPL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.74 | 6.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $3.08 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.87 | 34% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.80 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.27 | 40% below |
LPL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
LPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.02 | $8.05 | +15% |
| 2021 | $8.05 | $9.64 | +20% |
| 2022 | $9.64 | $4.94 | -49% |
| 2023 | $4.94 | $4.82 | -2.4% |
| 2024 | $4.82 | $3.18 | -34% |
| 2025 | $3.18 | $4.22 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.22 | $2.57 | -39% |
LPL has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.