ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LOGI

Logitech International S.A.

62
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

LOGI has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LOGI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

LOGI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LOGI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$95.32-5.3%
Current18x$101—
Forward18x$101—
Fair21x$119+18%
Expensive27x$152+51%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LOGI's PE is in its cheap range at 18.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 18.4x.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LOGI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect LOGI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LOGI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LOGI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$125.71
Downside-19%$81.09

Calculated from the latest close: $100.60 on Nov 12.

LOGI trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

LOGI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.06Q1 2024: $3.87Q2 2024: $4.40Q3 2024: $4.49Q4 2024: $4.26Q1 2025: $4.13Q2 2025: $4.19Q3 2025: $4.39Q4 2025: $4.76Q1 2026: $4.80Q2 2026: $5.45Q3 2026: $5.55Forward: $5.47
Q4 2023: $3.06Q1 2024: $3.87Q2 2024: $4.40Q3 2024: $4.49Q4 2024: $4.26Q1 2025: $4.13Q2 2025: $4.19Q3 2025: $4.39Q4 2025: $4.76Q1 2026: $4.80Q2 2026: $5.45Q3 2026: $5.55Forward: $5.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.47-1.5%
Q3 2026$5.55+26%
Q2 2026$5.45+30%
Q1 2026$4.80+16%
Q4 2025$4.76+12%
Q3 2025$4.39-2.2%
Q2 2025$4.19-4.8%
Q1 2025$4.13+6.7%
Q4 2024$4.26+39%

LOGI has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over LOGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LOGI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+2.8%
Q2 2026$1.2B+6.9%
Q1 2026$1.1B+7.4%
Q4 2025$1.4B+6.1%
Q3 2025$1.2B+6.3%
Q2 2025$1.1B+5.5%
Q1 2025$1B-0.1%
Q4 2024$1.3B+6.8%

LOGI's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 2.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

LOGI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $432MQ1 2024: $229MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $151MQ4 2024: $357MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $189MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $149M
Q4 2023: $432MQ1 2024: $229MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $151MQ4 2024: $357MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $189MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $149M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$148.8M-30%
Q2 2026$149.9M+38%
Q1 2026$189M+62%
Q4 2025$465.6M+31%
Q3 2025$212.3M+40%
Q2 2025$108.8M-33%
Q1 2025$116.9M-49%
Q4 2024$356.6M-17%

LOGI has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

LOGI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 157MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 153MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 148MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 145MQ3 2026: 144M
Q4 2023: 157MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 153MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 148MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 145MQ3 2026: 144M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.3M shares
1 year-3.1%-4.7M shares
3 years-9.5%-15.2M shares
5 years-16%-27.6M shares
Available history-15%-25.9M shares

LOGI has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LOGI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ3 2025: -1.8xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -2.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ3 2025: -1.8xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.0xNet Cash

LOGI has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

LOGI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.3Neutral
Stochastic20.4Neutral

LOGI's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LOGI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLOGISector medianRelative
PE18x28x35% below
PE %233512 pts below

LOGI is trading at 18x earnings, a 35% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

LOGI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$101.30.7% below
20 week MA$101.30.7% below
50 week MA$100.40.2% above
100 week MA$97.73% above
200 week MA$87.715% above

LOGI has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

LOGI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.1$93.0+98%
2021$93.0$84.9-8.7%
2022$84.9$61.6-27%
2023$61.6$95.1+54%
2024$95.1$83.4-12%
2025$83.4$105.3+26%
2026 YTD$105.3$100.6-4.4%

LOGI has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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