ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

KVHI

KVH Industries, Inc.

58
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

KVHI has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KVHI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Weak
Strong

KVHI's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KVHI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE64x128x192x255x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE64x128x192x255x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.2x$0.13-98%
Fair5.6x$0.17-98%
Expensive9.3x$0.28-96%
Forward13x$7.37—
Current246x$7.37—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KVHI's PE is in its expensive range at 246x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KVHI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for KVHI, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KVHI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KVHI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$11.17
Downside-36%$4.72

Calculated from the latest close: $7.37 on Nov 12.

KVHI trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

KVHI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.97Q2 2024: $-1.14Q3 2024: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-0.57Q1 2025: $-0.50Q2 2025: $-0.33Q3 2025: $-0.63Q4 2025: $-0.38Q1 2026: $-0.26Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $0.03Forward: $0.58
Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.97Q2 2024: $-1.14Q3 2024: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-0.57Q1 2025: $-0.50Q2 2025: $-0.33Q3 2025: $-0.63Q4 2025: $-0.38Q1 2026: $-0.26Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $0.03Forward: $0.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.58+1833%
Q3 2026$0.03+$0.66
Q2 2026-$0.30+$0.03
Q1 2026-$0.26+$0.24
Q4 2025-$0.38+$0.19
Q3 2025-$0.63+$0.35
Q2 2025-$0.33+$0.81
Q1 2025-$0.50+$0.47
Q4 2024-$0.57+$0.24

KVHI has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over KVHI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KVHI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$38.4M+35%
Q2 2026$33.7M+27%
Q1 2026$32.3M+27%
Q4 2025$30.5M+13%
Q3 2025$28.5M-1.8%
Q2 2025$26.6M-7.1%
Q1 2025$25.4M-13%
Q4 2024$26.9M-14%

KVHI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $38M last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

KVHI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $419,000Q4 2024: −$444,000Q1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $672,000Q3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $419,000Q4 2024: −$444,000Q1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $672,000Q3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.3M-60%
Q2 2026$672K-76%
Q1 2026-$10.8M-$8.4M
Q4 2025-$1.6M-$1.2M
Q3 2025$8.4M+1900%
Q2 2025$2.7M+$20.1M
Q1 2025-$2.4M+$765K
Q4 2024-$444K-125%

KVHI has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

KVHI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-7.2%-1.4M shares
1 year-5.7%-1.1M shares
3 years-5.1%-980K shares
5 years-1.7%-315K shares
Available history+4.5%+792K shares

KVHI has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KVHI Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -35.7xQ1 2025: -18.6xQ2 2025: -14.0xQ1 2026: -49.0xQ2 2026: -47.7xQ3 2026: -7.1x
Q4 2024: -35.7xQ1 2025: -18.6xQ2 2025: -14.0xQ1 2026: -49.0xQ2 2026: -47.7xQ3 2026: -7.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-7.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-47.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-49.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-14.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-18.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-35.7xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2023-1.1xNet Cash

KVHI has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

KVHI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic40.9Neutral

KVHI's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KVHI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKVHISector medianRelative
PE246x28x782% above
PE %1003565 pts above

KVHI is trading at 246x earnings, a 782% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

KVHI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.877.3% above
20 week MA$7.684% below
50 week MA$7.896.6% below
100 week MA$6.7010% above
200 week MA$6.5413% above

KVHI has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

KVHI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.2$10.4-6.7%
2021$10.4$8.99-14%
2022$8.99$9.40+4.6%
2023$9.40$5.26-44%
2024$5.26$5.55+5.5%
2025$5.55$6.79+22%
2026 YTD$6.79$7.37+8.5%

KVHI has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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