ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

KPLT

Katapult Holdings, Inc.

58
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

KPLT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KPLT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

KPLT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KPLT PE Valuation

KPLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KPLT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect KPLT's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails KPLT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KPLT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+98%$16.13
Downside-49%$4.13

Calculated from the latest close: $8.16 on Nov 12.

KPLT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

KPLT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 273% for ASTS versus KPLT down 102%.

KPLT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-8.28Q4 2023: $-8.04Q1 2024: $-5.92Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-7.30Q4 2024: $-5.96Q1 2025: $-7.06Q2 2025: $-7.08Q3 2025: $-5.97Q4 2025: $-0.11
Q3 2023: $-8.28Q4 2023: $-8.04Q1 2024: $-5.92Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-7.30Q4 2024: $-5.96Q1 2025: $-7.06Q2 2025: $-7.08Q3 2025: $-5.97Q4 2025: $-0.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025-$0.11+$5.85
Q3 2025-$5.97+$1.33
Q2 2025-$7.08-$1.12
Q1 2025-$7.06-$1.14
Q4 2024-$5.96+$2.08
Q3 2024-$7.30+$0.98
Q2 2024-$5.96+$3.61
Q1 2024-$5.92+$4.58

KPLT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.11 per share over the past year, against $10.50 at its worst in early 2023.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

KPLT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $55MQ4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $74MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $75M
Q3 2023: $55MQ4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $74MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $75M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$74.8M+4%
Q1 2026$79M+9.8%
Q4 2025$73.9M+17%
Q3 2025$74M+23%
Q2 2025$71.9M+22%
Q1 2025$71.9M+11%
Q4 2024$63M+9.4%
Q3 2024$60.3M+9.2%

KPLT's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $75M last quarter, up 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

KPLT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $821,000Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$653,000Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$6M
Q3 2023: $821,000Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$653,000Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.1M+$539K
Q1 2026$12.2M+257%
Q4 2025-$12.7M+$15.8M
Q3 2025$4M+$9.4M
Q2 2025-$6.6M-$6M
Q1 2025$3.4M+72%
Q4 2024-$28.5M-$18.8M
Q3 2024-$5.4M-762%

KPLT has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over KPLT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

KPLT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4MQ4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ2 2026: 5M
Q3 2023: 4MQ4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ2 2026: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.2%+464K shares
1 year+19%+873K shares
3 years+38%+1.5M shares
5 years+1480%+5.1M shares

KPLT has 5M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KPLT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.3xQ4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q3 2023: 0.3xQ4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 20240.3xVery low

KPLT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

KPLT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic68.2Neutral

KPLT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KPLT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKPLTSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

KPLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

KPLT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.2712% above
20 week MA$7.2712% above
50 week MA$6.9218% above
100 week MA$8.726.4% below
200 week MA$11.328% below

KPLT has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

KPLT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$245.3$348.8+42%
2021$348.8$83.0-76%
2022$83.0$21.0-75%
2023$21.0$10.9-48%
2024$10.9$5.81-47%
2025$5.81$6.85+18%
2026 YTD$6.85$8.16+19%

KPLT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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