ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

KLAC

KLA Corporation

72
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

KLAC has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KLAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

KLAC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KLAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap18x$72.57-54%
Forward25x$157—
Fair27x$109-31%
Expensive39x$156-0.9%
Current39x$157—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KLAC's PE is in its expensive range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KLAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for KLAC, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails KLAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KLAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+73%$271.35
Downside-16%$131.48

Calculated from the latest close: $157.30 on Nov 12.

KLAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

KLAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.97Q1 2024: $1.91Q2 2024: $2.03Q3 2024: $2.19Q4 2024: $2.38Q1 2025: $2.75Q2 2025: $3.04Q3 2025: $3.18Q4 2025: $3.44Q1 2026: $3.53Q2 2026: $3.66Q3 2026: $3.99Forward: $6.22
Q4 2023: $1.97Q1 2024: $1.91Q2 2024: $2.03Q3 2024: $2.19Q4 2024: $2.38Q1 2025: $2.75Q2 2025: $3.04Q3 2025: $3.18Q4 2025: $3.44Q1 2026: $3.53Q2 2026: $3.66Q3 2026: $3.99Forward: $6.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.22+56%
Q3 2026$3.99+25%
Q2 2026$3.66+20%
Q1 2026$3.53+28%
Q4 2025$3.44+45%
Q3 2025$3.18+45%
Q2 2025$3.04+50%
Q1 2025$2.75+44%
Q4 2024$2.38+21%

KLAC has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

KLAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $4.1B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $4.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.1B+29%
Q2 2026$3.7B+15%
Q1 2026$3.4B+11%
Q4 2025$3.3B+7.2%
Q3 2025$3.2B+13%
Q2 2025$3.2B+24%
Q1 2025$3.1B+30%
Q4 2024$3.1B+24%

KLAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $4.1B last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

KLAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $545MQ1 2024: $838MQ2 2024: $832MQ3 2024: $935MQ4 2024: $757MQ1 2025: $990MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $622MQ2 2026: $817MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $545MQ1 2024: $838MQ2 2024: $832MQ3 2024: $935MQ4 2024: $757MQ1 2025: $990MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $622MQ2 2026: $817MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+25%
Q2 2026$817.1M-23%
Q1 2026$622.3M-37%
Q4 2025$1.3B+67%
Q3 2025$1.1B+14%
Q2 2025$1.1B+28%
Q1 2025$990M+18%
Q4 2024$757.2M+39%

KLAC has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

KLAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.4BQ1 2024: 1.4BQ2 2024: 1.4BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.4BQ1 2024: 1.4BQ2 2024: 1.4BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-8.6M shares
1 year-1%-12.7M shares
3 years-4.4%-60M shares
5 years-15%-223M shares
Available history-17%-275M shares

KLAC has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KLAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20241.0xVery low

KLAC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

KLAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic21.4Neutral

KLAC's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KLAC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKLACSector medianRelative
PE39x28x41% above
PE %843549 pts above

KLAC is trading at 39x earnings, a 41% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

KLAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$169.47.2% below
20 week MA$186.716% below
50 week MA$173.79.4% below
100 week MA$129.422% above
200 week MA$94.067% above

KLAC has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

KLAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.9$25.9+45%
2021$25.9$42.1+62%
2022$42.1$37.7-10%
2023$37.7$58.1+54%
2024$58.1$64.5+11%
2025$64.5$128.0+98%
2026 YTD$128.0$157.3+23%

KLAC has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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