ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JBL

Jabil Inc.

66
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation42/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

JBL has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

JBL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

JBL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JBL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x114x152x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x114x152x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$106-59%
Forward15x$260—
Fair21x$208-20%
Current27x$260—
Expensive40x$386+49%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JBL's PE is in its fair range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JBL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for JBL, with profitability holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails JBL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JBL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$429.86
Downside-14%$224.78

Calculated from the latest close: $259.96 on Nov 12.

JBL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

JBL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.88Q1 2024: $11.67Q2 2024: $11.01Q3 2024: $11.17Q4 2024: $10.58Q1 2025: $4.33Q2 2025: $5.30Q3 2025: $5.92Q4 2025: $6.39Q1 2026: $7.41Q2 2026: $7.97Q3 2026: $9.75Forward: $17.71
Q4 2023: $5.88Q1 2024: $11.67Q2 2024: $11.01Q3 2024: $11.17Q4 2024: $10.58Q1 2025: $4.33Q2 2025: $5.30Q3 2025: $5.92Q4 2025: $6.39Q1 2026: $7.41Q2 2026: $7.97Q3 2026: $9.75Forward: $17.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.71+82%
Q3 2026$9.75+65%
Q2 2026$7.97+50%
Q1 2026$7.41+71%
Q4 2025$6.39-40%
Q3 2025$5.92-47%
Q2 2025$5.30-52%
Q1 2025$4.33-63%
Q4 2024$10.58+80%

JBL has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over JBL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JBL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7.8BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $8.3BQ1 2026: $8.3BQ2 2026: $8.8BQ3 2026: $10.6B
Q4 2023: $8.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7.8BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $8.3BQ1 2026: $8.3BQ2 2026: $8.8BQ3 2026: $10.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.6B+29%
Q2 2026$8.8B+12%
Q1 2026$8.3B+23%
Q4 2025$8.3B+19%
Q3 2025$8.3B+18%
Q2 2025$7.8B+16%
Q1 2025$6.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$7B-17%

JBL's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $10.6B last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

JBL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $160MQ1 2024: −$48MQ2 2024: $409MQ3 2024: $411MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $320MQ3 2025: $419MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $351MQ3 2026: $487M
Q4 2023: $160MQ1 2024: −$48MQ2 2024: $409MQ3 2024: $411MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $320MQ3 2025: $419MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $351MQ3 2026: $487M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$487M+16%
Q2 2026$351M+9.7%
Q1 2026$308M+41%
Q4 2025$228M+6%
Q3 2025$419M+1.9%
Q2 2025$320M-22%
Q1 2025$218M+$266M
Q4 2024$215M+34%

JBL has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

JBL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 122MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 111MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 122MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 111MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+400K shares
1 year-3.6%-4M shares
3 years-21%-29M shares
5 years-30%-45.2M shares
Available history-32%-49.6M shares

JBL has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

JBL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

JBL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

JBL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic10.5Oversold

JBL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JBL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricJBLSector medianRelative
PE27x28x4.3% below
PE %603525 pts above

JBL is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

JBL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$281.47.6% below
20 week MA$304.915% below
50 week MA$294.512% below
100 week MA$238.39.1% above
200 week MA$175.648% above

JBL has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

JBL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.2$42.9+4%
2021$42.9$69.8+63%
2022$69.8$69.0-1.1%
2023$69.0$127.4+85%
2024$127.4$145.9+15%
2025$145.9$236.1+62%
2026 YTD$236.1$260.0+10%

JBL has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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