ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ITRN

Ituran Location and Control Ltd.

66
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ITRN has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ITRN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

ITRN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ITRN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x80x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x80x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$36.54-26%
Forward12x$49.12—
Fair14x$44.85-8.7%
Current15x$49.12—
Expensive18x$59.34+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ITRN's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ITRN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ITRN, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails ITRN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ITRN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$62.83
Downside-12%$43.10

Calculated from the latest close: $49.12 on Nov 12.

ITRN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ITRN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.27Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $2.50Q2 2024: $2.55Q3 2024: $2.61Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.78Q2 2025: $2.80Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.92Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $3.24Forward: $3.93
Q3 2023: $2.27Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $2.50Q2 2024: $2.55Q3 2024: $2.61Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.78Q2 2025: $2.80Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.92Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $3.24Forward: $3.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.93+21%
Q2 2026$3.24+16%
Q1 2026$3.04+9.4%
Q4 2025$2.92+7.7%
Q3 2025$2.85+9.2%
Q2 2025$2.80+9.8%
Q1 2025$2.78+11%
Q4 2024$2.71+13%
Q3 2024$2.61+15%

ITRN has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

ITRN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $85MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $86MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $105M
Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $85MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $86MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $105M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$104.8M+21%
Q1 2026$102.7M+19%
Q4 2025$93.5M+13%
Q3 2025$92.3M+11%
Q2 2025$86.8M+2.3%
Q1 2025$86.5M+1.7%
Q4 2024$82.9M+6.5%
Q3 2024$83.5M+3%

ITRN's revenue has grown year over year for 21 quarters in a row: $105M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ITRN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $17MQ4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $26M
Q3 2023: $17MQ4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$25.6M+49%
Q1 2026$12.9M+46%
Q4 2025$26.9M+48%
Q3 2025$17.8M+24%
Q2 2025$17.2M-13%
Q1 2025$8.8M+7%
Q4 2024$18.2M+2.7%
Q3 2024$14.4M-13%

ITRN has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ITRN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 20MQ4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20M
Q3 2023: 20MQ4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-35K shares
1 year-0.6%-121K shares
3 years-1.7%-345K shares
5 years-5%-1M shares
Available history-6%-1.3M shares

ITRN has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ITRN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.4xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9x
Q3 2023: -0.4xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ITRN has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ITRN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.3Neutral
Stochastic19.4Oversold

ITRN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ITRN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricITRNSector medianRelative
PE15x28x46% below
PE %643529 pts above

ITRN is trading at 15x earnings, a 46% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ITRN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$51.03.7% below
20 week MA$52.56.5% below
50 week MA$52.15.8% below
100 week MA$44.311% above
200 week MA$35.140% above

ITRN has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

ITRN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.0$19.0-24%
2021$19.0$26.0+37%
2022$26.0$21.5-17%
2023$21.5$27.2+27%
2024$27.2$30.3+11%
2025$30.3$43.4+43%
2026 YTD$43.4$49.1+13%

ITRN has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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