ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over INTZ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

INTZ

Intrusion Inc.

43
Fundamentals17/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

INTZ has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

INTZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Strong

INTZ's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are weak.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTZ PE Valuation

INTZ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect INTZ's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+78%$0.96
Downside-43%$0.31

Calculated from the latest close: $0.54 on Nov 12.

INTZ trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

INTZ has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 273% for ASTS versus INTZ down 104%.

INTZ Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-15.20Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.53Q2 2026: $-0.56
Q3 2023: $-15.20Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.53Q2 2026: $-0.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2023-$15.20+$0.40
Q2 2023-$15.40+$4.00
Q1 2023-$16.60+$4.20
Q4 2022-$16.40+$4.60
Q3 2022-$15.60+$6.40
Q2 2022-$19.40-$2.20
Q1 2022-$20.80-$8.20
Q4 2021-$21.00-$12.00

INTZ is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.56 per share over the past year, against $22.00 at its worst in late 2021.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over INTZ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTZ Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $888,000Q2 2026: $1M
Q3 2023: $1MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $888,000Q2 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.5M-22%
Q1 2026$888K-50%
Q4 2025$1.5M-12%
Q3 2025$2M+31%
Q2 2025$1.9M+28%
Q1 2025$1.8M+57%
Q4 2024$1.7M+23%
Q3 2024$1.5M+2.5%

INTZ's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $1M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

INTZ Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$645,000Q1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$549,000Q1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$4M
Q3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$645,000Q1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$549,000Q1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.6M-$1.7M
Q1 2026-$1.9M+$207K
Q4 2025-$549K+$96K
Q3 2025-$3M-$900K
Q2 2025-$1.9M+$998K
Q1 2025-$2.1M-$904K
Q4 2024-$645K+$2.5M
Q3 2024-$2.1M-$605K

INTZ has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

INTZ Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1MQ1 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20M
Q3 2023: 1MQ1 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+121K shares
1 year+2.5%+500K shares
3 years+2006%+19.4M shares
5 years+2859%+19.7M shares

INTZ has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

INTZ Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-2.9xNet Cash
Q1 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2019-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2019-0.4xNet Cash

INTZ has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

INTZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.1Neutral
Stochastic24.5Neutral

INTZ's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTZ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTZSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTZ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over INTZ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.6314% below
20 week MA$0.7225% below
50 week MA$0.8839% below
100 week MA$1.3058% below
200 week MA$6.8192% below

INTZ is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 92% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over INTZ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

INTZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.0$372.2+245%
2021$372.2$77.8-79%
2022$77.8$56.6-27%
2023$56.6$5.06-91%
2024$5.06$2.16-57%
2025$2.16$1.19-45%
2026 YTD$1.19$0.54-55%

INTZ has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 55% so far in 2026.

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