ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over INSG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

INSG

Inseego Corp.

41
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

INSG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

INSG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Stable
Weak

INSG's cash flow is currently stable, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INSG PE Valuation

INSG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INSG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect INSG's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INSG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INSG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$7.62
Downside-41%$2.61

Calculated from the latest close: $4.44 on Nov 12.

INSG trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

INSG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.32Q1 2024: $-4.26Q2 2024: $-3.78Q3 2024: $-1.94Q4 2024: $-0.63Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.36Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $0.63Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $-0.38
Q4 2023: $-4.32Q1 2024: $-4.26Q2 2024: $-3.78Q3 2024: $-1.94Q4 2024: $-0.63Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.36Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $0.63Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $-0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.38-$0.11
Q2 2026$0.14+$0.50
Q1 2026$0.63+$0.98
Q4 2025-$0.18+$0.45
Q3 2025-$0.27+$1.67
Q2 2025-$0.36+$3.42
Q1 2025-$0.35+$3.91
Q4 2024-$0.63+$3.69

INSG has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over INSG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INSG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$33.3M-28%
Q2 2026$44M+9.4%
Q1 2026$34.3M+8.4%
Q4 2025$48.4M+0.6%
Q3 2025$45.9M-15%
Q2 2025$40.2M-32%
Q1 2025$31.7M-30%
Q4 2024$48.1M+12%

INSG's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $33M last quarter, down 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

INSG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: −$24MQ3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: −$24MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.8M+317%
Q2 2026-$24.1M-$19.5M
Q1 2026$1.6M+$5.1M
Q4 2025$11.6M+$23.5M
Q3 2025$3.1M-75%
Q2 2025-$4.7M-116%
Q1 2025-$3.5M-177%
Q4 2024-$11.9M+$3.6M

INSG has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

INSG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+122K shares
1 year+5.9%+917K shares
3 years+41%+4.7M shares
5 years+59%+6.1M shares
Available history+110%+8.6M shares

INSG has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

INSG Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -2.8xQ1 2025: -2.7xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.0xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: 6.5x
Q3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -2.8xQ1 2025: -2.7xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.0xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: 6.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.5xHigh
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash

INSG's net debt is about 6.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

INSG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.8Neutral
Stochastic24.7Neutral

INSG's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INSG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINSGSector medianRelative
PE33x28x17% above
PE %843549 pts above

INSG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

INSG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.283.7% above
20 week MA$5.2415% below
50 week MA$9.3853% below
100 week MA$9.8855% below
200 week MA$8.7849% below

INSG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 49% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over INSG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

INSG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$71.1$168.1+136%
2021$168.1$63.2-62%
2022$63.2$8.28-87%
2023$8.28$2.20-73%
2024$2.20$10.4+373%
2025$10.4$10.7+3.2%
2026 YTD$10.7$4.44-59%

INSG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +373% in 2024 to −87% in 2022. It's down 59% so far in 2026.

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