ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

INDI

indie Semiconductor, Inc.

53
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

INDI has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

INDI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

INDI's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INDI PE Valuation

INDI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INDI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect INDI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails INDI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INDI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+89%$4.11
Downside-46%$1.17

Calculated from the latest close: $2.18 on Nov 12.

INDI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

INDI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.45Q2 2024: $-0.47Q3 2024: $-0.63Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.84Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $-0.76Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.45Q2 2024: $-0.47Q3 2024: $-0.63Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.84Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $-0.76Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.73+$0.11
Q1 2026-$0.76-$0.01
Q4 2025-$0.73+$0.03
Q3 2025-$0.75-$0.12
Q2 2025-$0.84-$0.37
Q1 2025-$0.75-$0.30
Q4 2024-$0.76+$0.05

INDI has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over INDI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INDI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$70.2M+31%
Q2 2026$64M+24%
Q1 2026$55.5M+2.6%
Q4 2025$58M0%
Q3 2025$53.7M-0.5%
Q2 2025$51.6M-1.4%
Q1 2025$54.1M+3.3%
Q4 2024$58M-17%

INDI's revenue is growing: $70M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

INDI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: −$23M
Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: −$23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.1M-$12.8M
Q2 2026-$32M-$18.4M
Q1 2026-$25.3M+$6M
Q4 2025-$16.1M-$7.5M
Q3 2025-$10.3M+$19M
Q2 2025-$13.6M+$9.8M
Q1 2025-$31.4M-$19.7M
Q4 2024-$8.6M+$12M

INDI has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

INDI Total Shares

Q1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 179MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 191MQ2 2025: 195MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 207MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 219M
Q1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 179MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 191MQ2 2025: 195MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 207MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 219M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.4%+7.3M shares
1 year+10%+20M shares
3 years+54%+77.3M shares
5 years+116%+118M shares
Available history+98%+108M shares

INDI has 219M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

INDI Net Leverage

INDI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

INDI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.6Neutral
Stochastic12.5Oversold

INDI's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INDI PE vs Technology Sector

INDI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over INDI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INDI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.211.4% below
20 week MA$3.1831% below
50 week MA$3.5639% below
100 week MA$3.5939% below
200 week MA$5.2258% below

INDI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 58% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

INDI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.88$12.9+30%
2021$12.9$11.6-9.7%
2022$11.6$6.21-46%
2023$6.21$8.11+31%
2024$8.11$4.34-46%
2025$4.34$3.74-14%
2026 YTD$3.74$2.18-42%

INDI has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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