ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over IMMR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

IMMR

Immersion Corporation

44
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation19/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

IMMR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

IMMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

IMMR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IMMR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x46x61x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x46x61x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.8x$0.95-86%
Fair7.4x$2.51-64%
Expensive20x$6.92-0.7%
Current21x$6.97—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IMMR's PE is in its expensive range at 21x.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IMMR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for IMMR to show an outlook.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IMMR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IMMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$8.47
Downside-31%$4.81

Calculated from the latest close: $6.97 on Nov 12.

IMMR trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

IMMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.04Q1 2024: $1.38Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.34
Q4 2023: $1.04Q1 2024: $1.38Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.34-51%
Q1 2024$1.38+35%
Q4 2023$1.04+13%
Q3 2023$1.13+214%
Q2 2023$1.28+412%
Q1 2023$1.02+117%
Q4 2022$0.92+136%
Q3 2022$0.36-43%

IMMR has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over IMMR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IMMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $44MQ2 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $616MQ1 2025: $475MQ2 2025: $285MQ3 2025: $292MQ4 2025: $650MQ1 2026: $518MQ2 2026: $270MQ3 2026: $294M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $44MQ2 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $616MQ1 2025: $475MQ2 2025: $285MQ3 2025: $292MQ4 2025: $650MQ1 2026: $518MQ2 2026: $270MQ3 2026: $294M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$294.4M+0.8%
Q2 2026$270M-5.2%
Q1 2026$518.5M+9.2%
Q4 2025$650.2M+5.5%
Q3 2025$292M+194%
Q2 2025$284.9M+522%
Q1 2025$474.8M+4474%
Q4 2024$616.2M+6399%

IMMR's revenue has held roughly level: $294M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

IMMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$46MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: −$65MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: −$37MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: −$47M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$46MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: −$65MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: −$37MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: −$47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$47.1M+$18.3M
Q2 2026$79.4M+69%
Q1 2026-$37.5M+$8.8M
Q2 2025$47M+49%
Q1 2025-$46.2M-691%
Q2 2024$31.6M+797%
Q1 2024$29.9M+749%
Q4 2023$7.8M-3%

IMMR has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

IMMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+176K shares
1 year+2.1%+688K shares
3 years+1.7%+553K shares
5 years+6.6%+2.1M shares
Available history+4.4%+1.4M shares

IMMR has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

IMMR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.1xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -3.1xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.1xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2022-3.2xNet Cash

IMMR has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

IMMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic26.0Neutral

IMMR's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IMMR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIMMRSector medianRelative
PE21x28x26% below
PE %843549 pts above

IMMR is trading at 21x earnings, a 26% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

IMMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.142.4% below
20 week MA$7.203.2% below
50 week MA$6.704% above
100 week MA$7.112% below
200 week MA$7.517.2% below

IMMR's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 7.2% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

IMMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.58$8.93+18%
2021$8.93$6.10-32%
2022$6.10$7.33+20%
2023$7.33$7.06-3.7%
2024$7.06$9.00+27%
2025$9.00$6.85-24%
2026 YTD$6.85$6.97+1.8%

IMMR has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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