ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
III
Information Services Group, Inc.
III has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
III Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
III's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
III PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $3.94 | -37% |
| Current | 25x | $6.25 | — |
| Forward | 25x | $6.25 | — |
| Fair | 27x | $6.64 | +6.3% |
| Expensive | 37x | $9.37 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
III's PE is in its fair range at 25.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 24.8x.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
III Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for III, with profitability improving.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
III Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.25 | +1% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.25 | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.24 | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.21 | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.19 | +217% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.20 | +$0.27 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.16 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.16 | +$0.18 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.06 | -50% |
III has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over III on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
III Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $65.1M | +4.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $65.5M | +6.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $61.2M | +2.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $61.2M | +5.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $62.4M | +1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.6M | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $59.6M | -7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $57.8M | -13% |
III's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $65M last quarter, up 4.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.9% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.9% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.4% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.4% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.6% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.7% | +9.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3% | +5.6 points |
III has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
III Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.5M | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7M | -58% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5M | -1173% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.3M | -29% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.5M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1M | +758% |
| Q1 2025 | $141K | -89% |
| Q4 2024 | $6M | -23% |
III has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
III Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.2% | +620K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +23K shares |
| 3 years | +0.4% | +203K shares |
| 5 years | -2% | -1.1M shares |
| Available history | +6% | +2.8M shares |
III has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $2M |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.2M |
III spent $7M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 25% from the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
III Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
III's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.8 years a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
III Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 69.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 86.0 | Overbought |
III's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
III PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | III | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 28x | 10% below |
| PE % | 46 | 35 | 11 pts above |
III is trading at 25x earnings, a 10% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
III Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.86 | 6.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $5.14 | 22% above |
| 50 week MA | $4.90 | 28% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.64 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $4.45 | 40% above |
III has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
III Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.31 | $3.03 | +31% |
| 2021 | $3.03 | $7.68 | +153% |
| 2022 | $7.68 | $4.56 | -41% |
| 2023 | $4.56 | $4.71 | +3.3% |
| 2024 | $4.71 | $3.34 | -29% |
| 2025 | $3.34 | $5.92 | +77% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.92 | $6.25 | +5.6% |
III has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.