ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ICHR

Ichor Holdings, Ltd.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

ICHR has the edge over ASTS overall on the model score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ICHR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Weak
Strong

ICHR's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ICHR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE193x386x578x771x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE193x386x578x771x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$37.07—
Cheap13x$0.63-98%
Fair20x$1.01-97%
Expensive42x$2.11-94%
Current741x$37.07—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ICHR's PE is in its expensive range at 741x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ICHR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ICHR, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ICHR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ICHR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+84%$68.16
Downside-48%$19.34

Calculated from the latest close: $37.07 on Nov 12.

ICHR trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ICHR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.47Q1 2024: $-1.77Q2 2024: $-1.21Q3 2024: $-0.93Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $-0.60Q3 2025: $-1.19Q4 2025: $-1.54Q1 2026: $-1.48Q2 2026: $-1.17Q3 2026: $0.05Forward: $3.14
Q4 2023: $-1.47Q1 2024: $-1.77Q2 2024: $-1.21Q3 2024: $-0.93Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $-0.60Q3 2025: $-1.19Q4 2025: $-1.54Q1 2026: $-1.48Q2 2026: $-1.17Q3 2026: $0.05Forward: $3.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.14+6172%
Q3 2026$0.05+$1.24
Q2 2026-$1.17-$0.57
Q1 2026-$1.48-$1.01
Q4 2025-$1.54-$0.90
Q3 2025-$1.19-$0.26
Q2 2025-$0.60+$0.61
Q1 2025-$0.47+$1.30
Q4 2024-$0.64+$0.83

ICHR has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over ICHR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ICHR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $203MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $203MQ3 2024: $211MQ4 2024: $233MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $240MQ3 2025: $239MQ4 2025: $224MQ1 2026: $256MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $329M
Q4 2023: $203MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $203MQ3 2024: $211MQ4 2024: $233MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $240MQ3 2025: $239MQ4 2025: $224MQ1 2026: $256MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $329M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$328.7M+37%
Q2 2026$294.8M+23%
Q1 2026$256.1M+4.7%
Q4 2025$223.6M-4.2%
Q3 2025$239.3M+13%
Q2 2025$240.3M+18%
Q1 2025$244.5M+21%
Q4 2024$233.3M+15%

ICHR's revenue is growing: $329M last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ICHR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $314,000Q2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $496,000Q2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$24MQ3 2026: −$40M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $314,000Q2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $496,000Q2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$24MQ3 2026: −$40M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$39.5M-1983%
Q2 2026-$23.6M-$8.8M
Q1 2026-$10M-2113%
Q4 2025$5.9M+$12.8M
Q3 2025$2.1M-3.3%
Q2 2025-$14.8M-201%
Q1 2025$496K+58%
Q4 2024-$6.9M-119%

ICHR has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over ICHR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ICHR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 38M
Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.1%+1.9M shares
1 year+11%+3.8M shares
3 years+30%+8.9M shares
5 years+31%+9.1M shares
Available history+67%+15.4M shares

ICHR has 38M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ICHR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ2 2026: -16.3xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ2 2026: -16.3xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-16.3xNet Cash
Q3 20256.5xHigh
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low
Q3 20240.8xVery low
Q2 20241.1xHealthy

ICHR has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ICHR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic10.0Oversold

ICHR's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ICHR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricICHRSector medianRelative
PE741x28x2,561% above
PE %1003565 pts above

ICHR is trading at 741x earnings, a 2561% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ICHR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.019% below
20 week MA$61.740% below
50 week MA$54.632% below
100 week MA$38.33.1% below
200 week MA$35.83.5% above

ICHR has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 3.5% above its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

ICHR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.9$30.5-10%
2021$30.5$45.5+49%
2022$45.5$26.2-42%
2023$26.2$33.6+28%
2024$33.6$31.4-6.7%
2025$31.4$19.0-40%
2026 YTD$19.0$37.1+96%

ICHR has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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