ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

HCKT

The Hackett Group, Inc.

63
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

HCKT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HCKT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
Stable
Stable

HCKT's profitability is currently strong, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HCKT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.7x$13.44—
Cheap16x$11.45-15%
Current19x$13.44—
Fair21x$14.55+8.2%
Expensive39x$26.96+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HCKT's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.7x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HCKT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect HCKT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HCKT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HCKT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$16.84
Downside-17%$11.12

Calculated from the latest close: $13.44 on Nov 12.

HCKT trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

HCKT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.24Q1 2024: $1.26Q2 2024: $1.25Q3 2024: $1.22Q4 2024: $1.06Q1 2025: $0.85Q2 2025: $0.60Q3 2025: $0.38Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $0.65Q3 2026: $0.70Forward: $1.55
Q4 2023: $1.24Q1 2024: $1.26Q2 2024: $1.25Q3 2024: $1.22Q4 2024: $1.06Q1 2025: $0.85Q2 2025: $0.60Q3 2025: $0.38Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $0.65Q3 2026: $0.70Forward: $1.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.55+121%
Q3 2026$0.70+84%
Q2 2026$0.65+8.3%
Q1 2026$0.53-38%
Q4 2025$0.47-56%
Q3 2025$0.38-69%
Q2 2025$0.60-52%
Q1 2025$0.85-33%
Q4 2024$1.06-15%

HCKT has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over HCKT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HCKT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $76MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $76MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$69.8M-4.5%
Q2 2026$69.3M-12%
Q1 2026$68.8M-12%
Q4 2025$75.8M-4.4%
Q3 2025$73.1M-8.4%
Q2 2025$78.9M+1.6%
Q1 2025$77.9M+0.9%
Q4 2024$79.2M+9.4%

HCKT's revenue is shrinking: $70M last quarter, down 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

HCKT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: −$1M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: −$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.3M-115%
Q2 2026$12.6M+237%
Q1 2026-$7.5M-382%
Q4 2025$17.1M-13%
Q3 2025$9M-3.9%
Q2 2025$3.7M-71%
Q1 2025$2.7M+44%
Q4 2024$19.6M-21%

HCKT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

HCKT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-213K shares
1 year-9.6%-2.7M shares
3 years-10%-2.9M shares
5 years-24%-7.9M shares
Available history-23%-7.5M shares

HCKT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HCKT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

HCKT's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.1 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

HCKT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.5Neutral
Stochastic84.5Overbought

HCKT's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HCKT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHCKTSector medianRelative
PE19x28x31% below
PE %38353 pts above

HCKT is trading at 19x earnings, a 31% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

HCKT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.913% above
20 week MA$11.220% above
50 week MA$13.31% above
100 week MA$19.029% below
200 week MA$21.036% below

HCKT has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

HCKT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.9$14.0-12%
2021$14.0$20.7+47%
2022$20.7$20.5-0.8%
2023$20.5$22.8+11%
2024$22.8$30.9+36%
2025$30.9$20.0-35%
2026 YTD$20.0$13.4-33%

HCKT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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