ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
GRRR
Gorilla Technology Group Inc.
GRRR has a slight edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GRRR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
GRRR's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GRRR PE Valuation
GRRR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GRRR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Turning to a loss | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect GRRR's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
GRRR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.88 | +$4.17 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.72 | +$4.06 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.53 | +$6.13 |
GRRR has the edge over ASTS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over GRRR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GRRR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $50.1M | +138% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.2M | +55% |
| Q4 2025 | $35.6M | +4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5M | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1M | +76% |
| Q1 2025 | $18.3M | +109% |
| Q4 2024 | $33.9M | +27% |
| Q3 2024 | $20.1M | -36% |
GRRR's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $50M last quarter, up 138% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -36% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -79% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +187 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6% | +32 points |
| Q2 2025 | -23% | -134 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | +108 points |
| Q4 2024 | -185% | -177 points |
| Q3 2024 | -30% | -96 points |
GRRR has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
GRRR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$25.1M | -$23.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $6.6M | +$17.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$13.7M | +$7M |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.8M | -316% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2M | +$5.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$11M | -$7.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$20.7M | -$20.7M |
| Q3 2024 | $1.3M | +$1.3M |
GRRR has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over GRRR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
GRRR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.2% | +1.9M shares |
| 1 year | +42% | +8.2M shares |
GRRR has 28M diluted shares, up 42% from a year ago, despite $5M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1.00 |
| Q3 2024 | — |
GRRR spent $5M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GRRR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2023 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2021 | 14.5x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 16.8x | High |
| Q4 2020 | 13.3x | High |
| Q4 2019 | 20.4x | High |
GRRR's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 14 years a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
GRRR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.8 | Oversold |
GRRR's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GRRR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GRRR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
GRRR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over GRRR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GRRR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.51 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $12.4 | 42% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.1 | 45% below |
| 100 week MA | $16.1 | 55% below |
| 200 week MA | $16.4 | 56% below |
GRRR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 56% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
GRRR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $98.3 | $100.0 | +1.7% |
| 2022 | $100.0 | $40.4 | -60% |
| 2023 | $40.4 | $5.39 | -87% |
| 2024 | $5.39 | $18.9 | +250% |
| 2025 | $18.9 | $11.3 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.3 | $7.20 | -36% |
GRRR has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.