ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GRMN
Garmin Ltd.
GRMN has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GRMN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
GRMN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GRMN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $200 | -30% |
| Fair | 23x | $242 | -16% |
| Forward | 26x | $286 | — |
| Expensive | 27x | $284 | -0.9% |
| Current | 27x | $286 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GRMN's PE is in its expensive range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GRMN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GRMN, with profitability improving.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
GRMN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.12 | +6.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.41 | +28% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.69 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.96 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.59 | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.11 | +2.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.10 | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.59 | +7.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.30 | +8.8% |
GRMN has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GRMN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8B | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B | +23% |
GRMN's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | +5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 30% | +4.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 26% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 22% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +5.4 points |
GRMN has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
GRMN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $293.3M | -31% |
| Q2 2026 | $275.8M | +116% |
| Q1 2026 | $469.4M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $429.6M | +7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $425.1M | +94% |
| Q2 2025 | $127.5M | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $380.7M | -5.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $399.2M | -4.3% |
GRMN has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
GRMN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +146K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +84K shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +2M shares |
| 5 years | +0.4% | +807K shares |
| Available history | +1.4% | +2.7M shares |
GRMN has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GRMN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
GRMN has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
GRMN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.8 | Neutral |
GRMN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GRMN PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GRMN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 86 | 35 | 51 pts above |
GRMN is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
GRMN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $283.3 | 1% above |
| 20 week MA | $278.6 | 2.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $248.6 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $232.3 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $183.4 | 56% above |
GRMN has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
GRMN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.5 | $120.2 | +22% |
| 2021 | $120.2 | $134.5 | +12% |
| 2022 | $134.5 | $91.3 | -32% |
| 2023 | $91.3 | $128.5 | +41% |
| 2024 | $128.5 | $209.4 | +63% |
| 2025 | $209.4 | $205.5 | -1.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $205.5 | $286.2 | +39% |
GRMN has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.